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Recent

v0.1
1959.HK$2.93-2.98%
Fair $2.93+0.0%

1959.HK

Zhong Ju Investment Group Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Auto & Truck DealershipsHKSE

$2.93

-0.09 (-2.98%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.93Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 17/F
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-5.7M · quality 28.7/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

17/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -42.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 1959.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Zhong Ju Investment Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.6B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

150.0x

↑

ROE

-42.3%

↓

Gross Margin

3.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

1.73

↑
52-Week Range$3
$0$5

TradingView lightweight chart

1959.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.930Periodo +280.5%
Fair value: $2.930

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-23.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.6%

FCF / Net income

0.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $898.2M · net income $-33.9M · FCF $-5.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

3.5%-1.6% pts

Operating margin

-6.3%-4.0% pts

Net margin

-3.8%-2.6% pts

FCF margin

-0.6%+3.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$898.2M$898.2M$1.24B$1.62B$2.00B
Net Income$-33.9M$-33.9M$-89.7M$-52.4M$-23.6M
EBITDA$11.0M$11.0M$-28.3M$14.6M$45.3M
EPS——-0.18-0.10-0.05
Gross Margin3.5%3.5%1.3%5.6%5.0%
Operating Margin-6.3%-6.3%-9.3%-4.3%-2.4%
Net Margin-3.8%-3.8%-7.2%-3.2%-1.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.731.731.531.471.15
Current Ratio1.291.29———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.7M$-5.7M$131.0M$-7.2M$-71.8M
Returns
ROE-42.3%-42.3%-89.7%-27.7%-9.8%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA150.04150.04—21.297.66
P/B19.3819.382.150.490.63
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-27.7%-27.7%-23.3%-19.0%—
EPS Growth——-71.4%-121.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +815.6%

Total return

+815.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.18 → n/d

Residual

+815.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+815.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.