StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
1969.HK$1.11+0.91%
Fair $1.11+0.0%

1969.HK

China Chunlai Education Group Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Education & Training ServicesHKSE

$1.11

+0.01 (+0.91%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.11Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 53/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $570.9M · quality 73.0/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 84/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

53/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1969.HKLocal privado en este navegador · China Chunlai Education Group Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.3B

P/E

1.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.3x

↓

ROE

18.1%

↑

Gross Margin

54.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.42

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$7

TradingView lightweight chart

1969.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.110Periodo -36.2%
Fair value: $1.110

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.0%

FCF CAGR

-3.7%

FCF margin

42.0%

FCF / Net income

0.90x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.79B · net income $835.5M · FCF $752.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

54.2%-8.9% pts

Operating margin

47.7%+0.1% pts

Net margin

46.7%+4.5% pts

FCF margin

42.0%-22.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.79B$1.79B$1.63B$1.50B$1.31B
Net Income$835.5M$835.5M$778.2M$684.4M$552.3M
EBITDA$1.19B$1.19B$1.15B$1.04B$907.8M
EPS0.680.680.630.560.45
Gross Margin54.2%54.2%58.6%59.4%63.1%
Operating Margin47.7%47.7%52.4%51.2%47.6%
Net Margin46.7%46.7%47.7%45.7%42.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.420.420.580.660.91
Current Ratio1.011.01———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$752.1M$752.1M$570.9M$525.3M$843.4M
Returns
ROE18.1%18.1%20.0%20.9%21.1%
Valuation
P/E1.411.417.2211.045.67
EV/EBITDA2.292.296.268.665.38
P/B0.300.301.442.321.19
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.8%9.8%8.9%14.4%—
EPS Growth7.9%7.9%12.5%24.4%—
Dividend Yield8.5%8.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-47.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.10

Spread vs growth

55.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-29.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.12

Spread vs growth

37.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-11.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.19

Spread vs growth

19.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -65.1%

Total return

-65.1%

Start / end P/E

6.7x → 1.6x

EPS bridge

0.63 → 0.68

Residual

-6.0%

EPS growth+7.9%
Multiple rerating-75.6%
Dividend+8.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.