StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
1979.HK$2.81+1.08%
Fair $2.81+0.0%

1979.HK

Ten Pao Group Holdings Limited

Industrials / Electrical Equipment & PartsHKSE

$2.81

+0.03 (+1.08%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.81Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 57/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $177.0M · quality 62.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 55/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

57/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 1979.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Ten Pao Group Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.9B

P/E

7.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.8x

↓

ROE

17.5%

↑

Gross Margin

18.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.39

↑
52-Week Range$3
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

1979.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.810Periodo +130.3%
Fair value: $2.810

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.5%

FCF CAGR

-62.3%

FCF margin

0.3%

FCF / Net income

0.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.56B · net income $380.6M · FCF $19.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

18.2%+1.5% pts

Operating margin

7.1%+0.9% pts

Net margin

6.8%+1.4% pts

FCF margin

0.3%-6.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.56B$5.56B$5.39B$4.82B$5.48B
Net Income$380.6M$380.6M$383.9M$328.9M$296.9M
EBITDA$600.4M$600.4M$591.6M$567.5M$520.8M
EPS——0.370.320.29
Gross Margin18.2%18.2%19.5%18.8%16.7%
Operating Margin7.1%7.1%7.4%7.5%6.2%
Net Margin6.8%6.8%7.1%6.8%5.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.390.390.380.430.34
Current Ratio1.131.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$19.2M$19.2M$420.9M$177.0M$359.7M
Returns
ROE17.5%17.5%20.7%19.9%21.0%
Valuation
P/E7.597.594.103.174.40
EV/EBITDA5.755.753.302.832.77
P/B1.331.330.850.630.92
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.2%3.2%11.7%-12.0%—
EPS Growth——16.9%8.9%—
Dividend Yield4.7%4.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +80.3%

Total return

+80.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.37 → n/d

Residual

+75.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+75.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.