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v0.1
1979.T$4340.00-1.14%
Fair $4340.00+0.0%

1979.T

Taikisha Ltd.

Industrials / Building Products & EquipmentTokyo

$4340.00

-50.00 (-1.14%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4340.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $2.6B · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 1979.TLocal privado en este navegador · Taikisha Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$273.4B

P/E

17.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

11.5x

↑

ROE

7.4%

↑

Gross Margin

16.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.09

↓
52-Week Range$4340
$2312$4580

TradingView lightweight chart

1979.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4,340Periodo +1117.4%
Fair value: $4,340

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+9.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-9.1%

FCF / Net income

-2.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $276.21B · net income $11.03B · FCF $-25.17B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

16.3%+1.2% pts

Operating margin

6.5%+2.0% pts

Net margin

4.0%+0.5% pts

FCF margin

-9.1%-3.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$276.21B$276.21B$293.56B$214.79B$209.26B
Net Income$11.03B$11.03B$15.60B$7.92B$7.25B
EBITDA$21.67B$21.67B$25.19B$15.17B$15.21B
EPS169.44169.44235.97117.31106.34
Gross Margin16.3%16.3%14.8%15.4%15.1%
Operating Margin6.5%6.5%6.2%5.4%4.5%
Net Margin4.0%4.0%5.3%3.7%3.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.090.090.030.020.17
Current Ratio2.132.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-25.17B$-25.17B$16.85B$2.63B$-10.86B
Returns
ROE7.4%7.4%10.8%6.3%5.8%
Valuation
P/E17.7217.729.4615.2814.27
EV/EBITDA11.4511.450.885.084.96
P/B1.911.910.510.960.83
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.9%-5.9%36.7%2.6%—
EPS Growth-28.2%-28.2%101.2%10.3%—
Dividend Yield3.1%3.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

31.5%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$385.10

Spread vs growth

-59.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

22.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$465.97

Spread vs growth

-50.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$750.46

Spread vs growth

-44.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +86.0%

Total return

+86.0%

Start / end P/E

10.1x → 25.6x

EPS bridge

235.97 → 169.44

Residual

-43.6%

EPS growth-28.2%
Multiple rerating+154.6%
Dividend+3.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-43.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.