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v0.1
1995.HK$1.80-0.55%
Fair $1.80+0.0%

1995.HK

Ever Sunshine Services Group Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesHKSE

$1.80

-0.01 (-0.55%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.80Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 49/C
F-Score: 8/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 40.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 37/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

49/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled.
Thesis & Journal · 1995.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Ever Sunshine Services Group Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.1B

P/E

6.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

0.6x

↓

ROE

9.6%

↑

Gross Margin

19.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$2

TradingView lightweight chart

1995.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.800Periodo +1.1%
Fair value: $1.800

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.3%

FCF CAGR

-6.4%

FCF margin

9.3%

FCF / Net income

1.33x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.84B · net income $478.0M · FCF $637.2M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

19.7%-7.9% pts

Operating margin

11.4%-5.8% pts

Net margin

7.0%-6.1% pts

FCF margin

9.3%-7.2% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$6.84B$6.84B$6.54B$6.28B$4.70B
Net Income$478.0M$478.0M$434.5M$480.1M$617.0M
EBITDA$847.6M$847.6M$798.5M$838.3M$968.3M
EPS0.280.280.250.270.37
Gross Margin19.7%19.7%19.2%20.6%27.6%
Operating Margin11.4%11.4%10.5%9.8%17.2%
Net Margin7.0%7.0%6.6%7.6%13.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.020.00
Current Ratio1.641.64———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$637.2M$637.2M$862.2M$-1.07B$777.4M
Returns
ROE9.6%9.6%8.9%10.4%13.9%
Valuation
P/E6.216.215.2318.5630.63
EV/EBITDA0.650.65-0.008.9215.42
P/B0.620.620.471.944.25
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.6%4.6%4.2%33.5%—
EPS Growth11.0%11.0%-9.4%-25.1%—
Dividend Yield8.2%8.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-16.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.16

Spread vs growth

27.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.19

Spread vs growth

17.9%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

1.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.31

Spread vs growth

9.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.4%

Total return

+4.4%

Start / end P/E

7.5x → 6.5x

EPS bridge

0.25 → 0.28

Residual

-1.5%

EPS growth+11.0%
Multiple rerating-13.3%
Dividend+8.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-1.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.