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v0.1
2004.T$3150.00+0.00%
Fair $3150.00+0.0%

2004.T

Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsTokyo

$3150.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3150.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $8.5B · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2004.TLocal privado en este navegador · Showa Sangyo Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$102.4B

P/E

9.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.3x

↓

ROE

8.6%

↑

Gross Margin

17.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.38

↑
52-Week Range$3150
$2825$3455

TradingView lightweight chart

2004.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,150Periodo +250.0%
Fair value: $3,150

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

2.5%

FCF / Net income

0.73x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $334.43B · net income $11.60B · FCF $8.49B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.1%+1.0% pts

Operating margin

3.3%+1.4% pts

Net margin

3.5%+2.1% pts

FCF margin

2.5%+6.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$334.43B$334.43B$346.36B$335.05B$287.63B
Net Income$11.60B$11.60B$12.36B$7.78B$4.01B
EBITDA$27.18B$27.18B$27.08B$21.03B$16.05B
EPS356.01356.0180.00232.59120.61
Gross Margin17.1%17.1%16.4%13.6%16.1%
Operating Margin3.3%3.3%3.8%1.2%1.9%
Net Margin3.5%3.5%3.6%2.3%1.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.380.380.420.550.50
Current Ratio1.401.40———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$8.49B$8.49B$12.64B$-13.05B$-10.03B
Returns
ROE8.6%8.6%9.5%6.9%3.8%
Valuation
P/E9.649.6444.9410.8821.41
EV/EBITDA5.345.346.146.668.08
P/B0.760.760.930.750.81
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.4%-3.4%3.4%16.5%—
EPS Growth345.0%345.0%-65.6%92.8%—
Dividend Yield4.4%4.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-7.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$279.51

Spread vs growth

352.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$338.21

Spread vs growth

346.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$544.69

Spread vs growth

340.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +13.0%

Total return

+13.0%

Start / end P/E

36.3x → 8.8x

EPS bridge

80.00 → 356.01

Residual

-260.8%

EPS growth+345.0%
Multiple rerating-75.6%
Dividend+4.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-260.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.