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Recent

v0.1
2007.HK$0.23-3.81%
Fair $0.23+0.0%

2007.HK

Country Garden Holdings Company Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentHKSE

$0.23

-0.01 (-3.81%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.23Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 30/D
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 0.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

30/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -3.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2007.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Country Garden Holdings Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.5B

P/E

1.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.5x

↓

ROE

-379.6%

↓

Gross Margin

-27.8%

↓

Debt/Equity

-175.37

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

2007.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.227Periodo -96.6%
Fair value: $0.227

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-28.9%

FCF CAGR

-64.3%

FCF margin

1.0%

FCF / Net income

0.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $154.89B · net income $3.26B · FCF $1.53B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

-27.8%-35.5% pts

Operating margin

-33.7%-35.7% pts

Net margin

2.1%+3.5% pts

FCF margin

1.0%-6.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$154.89B$154.89B$252.76B$401.01B$430.37B
Net Income$3.26B$3.26B$-32.84B$-178.40B$-6.05B
EBITDA$20.30B$20.30B$-15.55B$-159.67B$7.63B
EPS——-1.19-6.49-0.26
Gross Margin-27.8%-27.8%-0.7%-23.3%7.6%
Operating Margin-33.7%-33.7%-5.0%-28.1%2.0%
Net Margin2.1%2.1%-13.0%-44.5%-1.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity-175.37-175.37-35.639.701.33
Current Ratio1.001.00———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.53B$1.53B$-3.32B$-77.06B$33.68B
Returns
ROE-379.6%-379.6%457.0%-687.6%-3.0%
Valuation
P/E1.621.62———
EV/EBITDA7.467.46——28.18
P/B———0.780.35
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-38.7%-38.7%-37.0%-6.8%—
EPS Growth——81.7%-2396.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -41.8%

Total return

-41.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-1.19 → n/d

Residual

-41.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-41.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.