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200992.SZ$2.10+0.48%
Fair $2.10+0.0%

200992.SZ

Shandong Zhonglu Oceanic Fisheries Company Limited

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsShenzhen

$2.10

+0.01 (+0.48%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.10Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 5/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-2.7M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.1%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 200992.SZLocal privado en este navegador · Shandong Zhonglu Oceanic Fisheries Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$559M

P/E

30.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

5.0x

↓

ROE

3.1%

↓

Gross Margin

8.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.45

↑
52-Week Range$2
$2$3

TradingView lightweight chart

200992.SZ price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.090Periodo -16.4%
Fair value: $2.100

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.08x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.49B · net income $33.5M · FCF $-2.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

8.6%-2.7% pts

Operating margin

7.0%-1.7% pts

Net margin

2.3%-0.8% pts

FCF margin

-0.2%+23.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.49B$1.49B$1.38B$1.15B$985.4M
Net Income$33.5M$33.5M$34.5M$39.6M$30.2M
EBITDA$146.9M$146.9M$132.5M$130.4M$105.3M
EPS0.130.130.130.150.11
Gross Margin8.6%8.6%8.3%12.9%11.3%
Operating Margin7.0%7.0%7.9%10.6%8.7%
Net Margin2.3%2.3%2.5%3.5%3.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.450.450.410.440.31
Current Ratio3.613.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.7M$-2.7M$28.1M$-114.4M$-228.2M
Returns
ROE3.1%3.1%3.2%3.8%3.1%
Valuation
P/E30.0030.0015.9513.7124.63
EV/EBITDA5.035.035.535.667.86
P/B0.510.510.520.530.75
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.4%7.4%20.9%16.2%—
EPS Growth-3.1%-3.1%-12.8%30.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

14.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.19

Spread vs growth

-17.1%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

12.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.23

Spread vs growth

-15.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

11.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.36

Spread vs growth

-14.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -3.7%

Total return

-3.7%

Start / end P/E

16.8x → 16.7x

EPS bridge

0.13 → 0.13

Residual

+0.0%

EPS growth-3.1%
Multiple rerating-0.6%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.