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2033.HK$0.29+1.72%
Fair $0.29+0.0%

2033.HK

Time Watch Investments Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Footwear & AccessoriesHKSE

$0.29

+0.00 (+1.72%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.29Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 31% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $85.5M · quality 72.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 57/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 1.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2033.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Time Watch Investments Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$607M

P/E

18.4x

↑

EV/EBITDA

-3.3x

↓

ROE

1.5%

↓

Gross Margin

72.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

2033.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.295Periodo -78.6%
Fair value: $0.295

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-22.8%

FCF CAGR

-21.0%

FCF margin

16.0%

FCF / Net income

4.18x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $881.0M · net income $33.6M · FCF $140.5M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

72.8%-2.7% pts

Operating margin

-0.6%-14.9% pts

Net margin

3.8%-9.7% pts

FCF margin

16.0%+1.1% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$881.0M$881.0M$981.8M$1.41B$1.92B
Net Income$33.6M$33.6M$37.1M$33.0M$259.1M
EBITDA$97.5M$97.5M$108.9M$115.2M$459.4M
EPS0.020.020.020.020.13
Gross Margin72.8%72.8%73.4%72.6%75.4%
Operating Margin-0.6%-0.6%3.0%-0.6%14.3%
Net Margin3.8%3.8%3.8%2.3%13.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.020.02
Current Ratio7.457.45———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$140.5M$140.5M$33.8M$85.5M$285.0M
Returns
ROE1.5%1.5%1.6%1.3%10.0%
Valuation
P/E18.4418.4419.7229.697.28
EV/EBITDA-3.33-3.33-0.281.613.70
P/B0.260.260.310.380.73
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.3%-10.3%-30.3%-26.6%—
EPS Growth-11.1%-11.1%12.5%-87.2%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

17.8%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

-28.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

14.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

-25.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

12.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

-23.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.9%

Total return

-11.9%

Start / end P/E

18.6x → 18.4x

EPS bridge

0.02 → 0.02

Residual

+0.1%

EPS growth-11.1%
Multiple rerating-0.9%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.