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2038.KL$5.20-0.95%
Fair $5.20+0.0%

2038.KL

Negri Sembilan Oil Palms Berhad

Consumer Defensive / Farm ProductsKuala Lumpur

$5.20

-0.05 (-0.95%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $5.20Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 42/C
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $18.0M · quality 57.3/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 69/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

42/100

C

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific commodity mid-cycle model required: targets are disabled until normalized cycle price/cost-curve/reserve data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 2038.KLLocal privado en este navegador · Negri Sembilan Oil Palms Berhad
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$365M

P/E

7.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.3x

↓

ROE

7.0%

↑

Gross Margin

52.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$5
$4$6

TradingView lightweight chart

2038.KL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $5.200Periodo +138.3%
Fair value: $5.200

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.7%

FCF CAGR

+13.8%

FCF margin

31.4%

FCF / Net income

1.05x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $160.0M · net income $47.6M · FCF $50.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

52.9%-1.2% pts

Operating margin

34.6%+4.8% pts

Net margin

29.8%+4.9% pts

FCF margin

31.4%+0.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$160.0M$160.0M$112.5M$92.8M$111.8M
Net Income$47.6M$47.6M$36.5M$18.1M$27.8M
EBITDA$64.2M$64.2M$46.1M$19.7M$42.2M
EPS——0.520.260.40
Gross Margin52.9%52.9%55.8%39.9%54.1%
Operating Margin34.6%34.6%33.2%11.7%29.9%
Net Margin29.8%29.8%32.5%19.5%24.8%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio23.6423.64———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$50.2M$50.2M$18.0M$10.4M$34.0M
Returns
ROE7.0%7.0%5.7%3.0%4.8%
Valuation
P/E7.657.657.4512.239.28
EV/EBITDA2.302.302.092.882.70
P/B0.540.540.420.360.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth42.2%42.2%21.3%-17.0%—
EPS Growth——102.1%-34.9%—
Dividend Yield1.5%1.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +14.8%

Total return

+14.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.52 → n/d

Residual

+13.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+13.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.