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205A.T$1672.00-4.35%
Fair $1672.00+0.0%

205A.T

205A.T

Consumer Cyclical / Residential ConstructionTokyo

$1672.00

-76.00 (-4.35%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1672.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 3/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $741.9M · quality 31.3/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 34/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.24, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 205A.TLocal privado en este navegador · 205A.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.6B

P/E

15.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

9.4x

↑

ROE

5.9%

↑

Gross Margin

17.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.24

↑
52-Week Range$1672
$970$2098

TradingView lightweight chart

205A.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,672Periodo -13.4%
Fair value: $1,672

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+13.4%

FCF CAGR

-18.1%

FCF margin

4.1%

FCF / Net income

7.50x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $36.27B · net income $199.8M · FCF $1.50B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.4%-0.6% pts

Operating margin

1.3%-3.4% pts

Net margin

0.6%-2.6% pts

FCF margin

4.1%-6.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$36.27B$36.27B$31.71B$28.03B$24.85B
Net Income$199.8M$199.8M$890.2M$-80.9M$774.0M
EBITDA$745.6M$745.6M$1.58B$146.1M$1.36B
EPS50.8050.80227.78-20.69198.06
Gross Margin17.4%17.4%18.6%14.6%18.0%
Operating Margin1.3%1.3%4.4%-0.4%4.8%
Net Margin0.6%0.6%2.8%-0.3%3.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.242.241.561.551.00
Current Ratio1.131.13———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.50B$1.50B$741.9M$-2.28B$2.73B
Returns
ROE5.9%5.9%28.8%-2.5%23.7%
Valuation
P/E15.3415.34———
EV/EBITDA9.449.44———
P/B1.931.93———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth14.4%14.4%13.2%12.8%—
EPS Growth-77.7%-77.7%1200.8%-110.4%—
Dividend Yield3.6%3.6%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

42.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$148.36

Spread vs growth

-120.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

28.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$179.52

Spread vs growth

-106.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

19.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$289.12

Spread vs growth

-96.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +63.3%

Total return

+63.3%

Start / end P/E

4.6x → 32.9x

EPS bridge

227.78 → 50.80

Residual

-478.6%

EPS growth-77.7%
Multiple rerating+616.0%
Dividend+3.6%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-478.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.