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2102.HK$0.29-1.69%
Fair $0.29+0.0%

2102.HK

Tak Lee Machinery Holdings Limited

Industrials / Farm & Heavy Construction MachineryHKSE

$0.29

-0.00 (-1.69%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.29Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 65/B
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 32% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $41.3M · quality 65.3/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 49/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

65/100

B

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 2102.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Tak Lee Machinery Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$290M

P/E

9.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.5x

↓

ROE

6.4%

↑

Gross Margin

20.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$0

TradingView lightweight chart

2102.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.290Periodo -29.3%
Fair value: $0.290

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-5.8%

FCF CAGR

+26.9%

FCF margin

22.4%

FCF / Net income

2.63x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $330.7M · net income $28.2M · FCF $74.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.5%-1.5% pts

Operating margin

9.5%-3.4% pts

Net margin

8.5%-2.9% pts

FCF margin

22.4%+13.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$330.7M$330.7M$279.3M$272.0M$395.2M
Net Income$28.2M$28.2M$7.1M$7.1M$45.1M
EBITDA$69.9M$69.9M$50.0M$51.9M$98.8M
EPS0.030.030.010.010.05
Gross Margin20.5%20.5%20.5%19.5%22.0%
Operating Margin9.5%9.5%4.5%2.9%12.9%
Net Margin8.5%8.5%2.5%2.6%11.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.030.07
Current Ratio14.0414.04———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$74.1M$74.1M$41.3M$-4.1M$36.3M
Returns
ROE6.4%6.4%1.6%1.6%10.1%
Valuation
P/E9.679.6719.4419.865.01
EV/EBITDA2.492.491.402.031.74
P/B0.660.660.310.320.51
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth18.4%18.4%2.7%-31.2%—
EPS Growth297.2%297.2%0.0%-84.3%—
Dividend Yield11.9%11.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-3.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

300.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

2.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.03

Spread vs growth

295.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.05

Spread vs growth

291.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +54.7%

Total return

+54.7%

Start / end P/E

28.6x → 10.3x

EPS bridge

0.01 → 0.03

Residual

-190.3%

EPS growth+297.2%
Multiple rerating-64.0%
Dividend+11.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-190.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.