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2130.T$1108.00+0.27%
Fair $1108.00+0.0%

2130.T

Members Co., Ltd.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesTokyo

$1108.00

+3.00 (+0.27%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1108.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.1B · quality 74.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 73/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2130.TLocal privado en este navegador · Members Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$14.2B

P/E

11.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.1x

↑

ROE

6.0%

↑

Gross Margin

20.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.16

↓
52-Week Range$1108
$1031$1478

TradingView lightweight chart

2130.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,108Periodo +212.6%
Fair value: $1,108

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+14.3%

FCF CAGR

-11.4%

FCF margin

5.1%

FCF / Net income

3.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $22.33B · net income $349.8M · FCF $1.14B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

20.9%-10.9% pts

Operating margin

2.2%-10.4% pts

Net margin

1.6%-7.8% pts

FCF margin

5.1%-5.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$22.33B$22.33B$20.47B$17.66B$14.94B
Net Income$349.8M$349.8M$126.5M$1.01B$1.40B
EBITDA$1.10B$1.10B$674.2M$1.94B$2.27B
EPS27.3827.389.7175.79—
Gross Margin20.9%20.9%21.0%29.4%31.8%
Operating Margin2.2%2.2%0.2%8.2%12.6%
Net Margin1.6%1.6%0.6%5.7%9.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.160.160.120.100.10
Current Ratio1.601.60———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.14B$1.14B$561.3M$1.26B$1.64B
Returns
ROE6.0%6.0%2.1%15.8%23.8%
Valuation
P/E11.7111.7186.6115.98—
EV/EBITDA10.0510.0511.716.3616.90
P/B2.442.441.852.537.29
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.1%9.1%15.9%18.2%—
EPS Growth182.0%182.0%-87.2%——
Dividend Yield3.2%3.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

53.1%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$98.32

Spread vs growth

128.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

34.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$118.96

Spread vs growth

147.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

21.5%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$191.59

Spread vs growth

160.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -0.1%

Total return

-0.1%

Start / end P/E

118.0x → 40.5x

EPS bridge

9.71 → 27.38

Residual

-119.6%

EPS growth+182.0%
Multiple rerating-65.7%
Dividend+3.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-119.6%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.