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2138.HK$0.41+1.22%
Fair $0.41+0.0%

2138.HK

EC Healthcare

Healthcare / Medical Care FacilitiesHKSE

$0.41

+0.00 (+1.22%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.41Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 4/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $527.9M · quality 56.0/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 54/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -9.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2138.HKLocal privado en este navegador · EC Healthcare
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$482M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

1.3x

↓

ROE

-9.3%

↓

Gross Margin

80.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.75

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

2138.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.415Periodo -86.1%
Fair value: $0.410

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.3%

FCF CAGR

+25.4%

FCF margin

16.6%

FCF / Net income

-4.10x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.14B · net income $-167.2M · FCF $686.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

80.7%-7.3% pts

Operating margin

2.3%-11.1% pts

Net margin

-4.0%-10.8% pts

FCF margin

16.6%+4.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.14B$4.14B$4.21B$3.88B$2.92B
Net Income$-167.2M$-167.2M$-18.9M$69.7M$197.5M
EBITDA$619.3M$619.3M$743.3M$786.6M$802.7M
EPS-0.14-0.14-0.020.060.17
Gross Margin80.7%80.7%84.2%85.7%88.0%
Operating Margin2.3%2.3%4.4%4.9%13.4%
Net Margin-4.0%-4.0%-0.4%1.8%6.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.750.750.820.830.50
Current Ratio0.870.87———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$686.1M$686.1M$527.9M$192.8M$348.1M
Returns
ROE-9.3%-9.3%-1.0%3.8%10.5%
Valuation
P/E———102.7148.69
EV/EBITDA1.331.333.5210.1712.05
P/B0.270.270.803.875.10
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.7%-1.7%8.7%32.7%—
EPS Growth-781.2%-781.2%-127.1%-64.9%—
Dividend Yield1.8%1.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -30.2%

Total return

-30.2%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.02 → -0.14

Residual

-32.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-32.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.