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2150.HK$0.77+16.67%
Fair $0.77+0.0%

2150.HK

Nayuki Holdings Limited

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsHKSE

$0.77

+0.11 (+16.67%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.77Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 28/D
F-Score: 7/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $194.3M · quality 47.0/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

28/100

D

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -6.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2150.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Nayuki Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

2.3x

↓

ROE

-6.6%

↓

Gross Margin

37.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.28

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

2150.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.770Periodo -95.5%
Fair value: $0.770

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

4.5%

FCF / Net income

-0.81x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.33B · net income $-239.1M · FCF $194.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.8%+2.6% pts

Operating margin

-2.6%+3.4% pts

Net margin

-5.5%+5.4% pts

FCF margin

4.5%+7.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.33B$4.33B$4.92B$5.16B$4.29B
Net Income$-239.1M$-239.1M$-917.3M$13.2M$-469.3M
EBITDA$334.1M$334.1M$-52.2M$788.0M$261.9M
EPS-0.14-0.14-0.540.01-0.27
Gross Margin37.8%37.8%34.1%39.9%35.3%
Operating Margin-2.6%-2.6%-7.3%1.9%-6.0%
Net Margin-5.5%-5.5%-18.6%0.3%-10.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.280.280.370.370.30
Current Ratio3.263.26———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$194.3M$194.3M$-98.1M$287.6M$-141.7M
Returns
ROE-6.6%-6.6%-23.3%0.3%-9.8%
Valuation
P/E———328.00—
EV/EBITDA2.272.27—8.8244.73
P/B0.360.360.581.172.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-12.0%-12.0%-4.7%20.3%—
EPS Growth74.1%74.1%-5500.0%103.7%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -31.9%

Total return

-31.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.54 → -0.14

Residual

-31.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-31.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.