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2154.T$1872.00-0.43%
Fair $1872.00+0.0%

2154.T

Open Up Group Inc.

Industrials / Staffing & Employment ServicesTokyo

$1872.00

-8.00 (-0.43%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1872.00Fund rank 39/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 58/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 22% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $14.9B · quality 84.0/100

Data gap 39/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 87/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

58/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2154.TLocal privado en este navegador · Open Up Group Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$159.0B

P/E

12.3x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.8x

↓

ROE

15.9%

↑

Gross Margin

25.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$1872
$1632$1979

TradingView lightweight chart

2154.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,872Periodo +795.7%
Fair value: $1,872

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.2%

FCF CAGR

-4.2%

FCF margin

7.0%

FCF / Net income

1.04x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $187.95B · net income $12.56B · FCF $13.12B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.2%+2.0% pts

Operating margin

8.6%+1.8% pts

Net margin

6.7%+2.0% pts

FCF margin

7.0%-3.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$187.95B$187.95B$173.22B$150.70B$148.57B
Net Income$12.56B$12.56B$11.77B$9.53B$6.97B
EBITDA$18.88B$18.88B$16.87B$14.87B$13.43B
EPS144.35144.35—108.8678.03
Gross Margin25.2%25.2%24.2%24.4%23.2%
Operating Margin8.6%8.6%8.3%8.1%6.8%
Net Margin6.7%6.7%6.8%6.3%4.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.020.020.03
Current Ratio1.301.30———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$13.12B$13.12B$18.45B$14.87B$14.94B
Returns
ROE15.9%15.9%16.1%14.7%11.0%
Valuation
P/E12.2812.28—18.6120.26
EV/EBITDA7.817.819.7310.959.74
P/B2.072.072.512.732.23
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth8.5%8.5%14.9%1.4%—
EPS Growth———39.5%—
Dividend Yield4.5%4.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

4.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$166.11

Spread vs growth

3.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$200.99

Spread vs growth

1.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$323.70

Spread vs growth

0.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.8%

Total return

+8.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → 144.35

Residual

+4.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+4.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.