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2164.T$290.00-1.36%
Fair $290.00+0.0%

2164.T

Chiikishinbunsha Co.,Ltd.

Communication Services / PublishingTokyo

$290.00

-4.00 (-1.36%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $290.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 36/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 16%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-63.5M · quality 37.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

36/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2164.TLocal privado en este navegador · Chiikishinbunsha Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.2B

P/E

106.2x

↑

EV/EBITDA

54.5x

↑

ROE

6.3%

↑

Gross Margin

71.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.55

↑
52-Week Range$290
$179$463

TradingView lightweight chart

2164.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $290.00Periodo -29.3%
Fair value: $290.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-33.0%

FCF / Net income

-25.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.15B · net income $41.3M · FCF $-1.04B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

71.1%-2.4% pts

Operating margin

1.4%+1.1% pts

Net margin

1.3%+1.0% pts

FCF margin

-33.0%-34.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.15B$3.15B$2.98B$2.93B$2.89B
Net Income$41.3M$41.3M$3.5M$-51.3M$8.5M
EBITDA$86.5M$86.5M$32.1M$-7.5M$41.5M
EPS2.732.730.38-24.414.43
Gross Margin71.1%71.1%71.5%72.8%73.5%
Operating Margin1.4%1.4%1.2%-0.7%0.3%
Net Margin1.3%1.3%0.1%-1.8%0.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.551.551.213.033.44
Current Ratio1.831.83———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.04B$-1.04B$76.8M$-63.5M$50.8M
Returns
ROE6.3%6.3%1.1%-33.3%4.8%
Valuation
P/E106.23106.23468.00—67.83
EV/EBITDA54.5154.5136.14—7.35
P/B6.646.645.192.623.25
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.9%5.9%1.7%1.3%—
EPS Growth628.0%628.0%101.5%-651.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

111.2%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$25.73

Spread vs growth

516.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

62.7%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$31.14

Spread vs growth

565.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

33.8%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$50.15

Spread vs growth

594.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +60.2%

Total return

+60.2%

Start / end P/E

482.7x → 106.2x

EPS bridge

0.38 → 2.73

Residual

-489.8%

EPS growth+628.0%
Multiple rerating-78.0%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-489.8%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.