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v0.1
2166.HK$4.80-6.07%
Fair $4.80+0.0%

2166.HK

Smart-Core Holdings Limited

Technology / Electronics & Computer DistributionHKSE

$4.80

-0.31 (-6.07%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $4.80Fund rank 30/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 56/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $215.4M · quality 51.3/100

Data gap 30/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 30/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

56/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 2166.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Smart-Core Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.3B

P/E

13.7x

↓

EV/EBITDA

12.3x

↓

ROE

15.2%

↑

Gross Margin

6.2%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.54

↑
52-Week Range$5
$2$6

TradingView lightweight chart

2166.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $4.800Periodo +166.7%
Fair value: $4.800

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.6%

FCF / Net income

-2.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $6.59B · net income $161.4M · FCF $-367.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

6.2%-4.7% pts

Operating margin

2.4%-2.9% pts

Net margin

2.4%+0.8% pts

FCF margin

-5.6%-14.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$6.59B$6.59B$4.65B$5.67B$10.01B
Net Income$161.4M$161.4M$100.3M$71.1M$164.7M
EBITDA$224.9M$224.9M$153.9M$189.3M$558.0M
EPS——0.210.150.34
Gross Margin6.2%6.2%6.7%7.8%10.9%
Operating Margin2.4%2.4%2.2%2.2%5.3%
Net Margin2.4%2.4%2.2%1.3%1.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.540.540.330.541.21
Current Ratio1.571.57———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-367.2M$-367.2M$215.4M$355.8M$859.2M
Returns
ROE15.2%15.2%10.5%7.9%18.9%
Valuation
P/E13.7113.717.259.576.64
EV/EBITDA12.2712.275.225.272.96
P/B2.212.210.760.751.25
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth41.8%41.8%-18.0%-43.4%—
EPS Growth——42.1%-55.6%—
Dividend Yield3.5%3.5%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +189.3%

Total return

+189.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.21 → n/d

Residual

+185.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+3.5%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+185.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.