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2168.HK$1.02-1.92%
Fair $1.02+0.0%

2168.HK

Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate ServicesHKSE

$1.02

-0.02 (-1.92%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.02Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 4/9
Low Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 13.0/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. ROE is 1.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2168.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Kaisa Prosperity Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$157M

P/E

10.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

-1.1x

↓

ROE

1.7%

↓

Gross Margin

25.6%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$3

TradingView lightweight chart

2168.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.020Periodo -89.0%
Fair value: $1.020

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-1.3%

FCF / Net income

-1.51x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.74B · net income $14.6M · FCF $-22.0M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

25.6%-4.0% pts

Operating margin

15.4%+0.8% pts

Net margin

0.8%-1.3% pts

FCF margin

-1.3%+17.1% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$1.74B$1.74B$1.79B$1.78B$2.67B
Net Income$14.6M$14.6M$-450.0M$93.4M$56.8M
EBITDA$72.3M$72.3M$-551.3M$172.0M$154.8M
EPS0.090.09-2.920.610.36
Gross Margin25.6%25.6%26.8%26.4%29.6%
Operating Margin15.4%15.4%16.0%7.1%14.5%
Net Margin0.8%0.8%-25.1%5.2%2.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.010.010.01
Current Ratio1.181.18———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-22.0M$-22.0M$62.8M$-78.1M$-490.7M
Returns
ROE1.7%1.7%-51.8%7.0%4.6%
Valuation
P/E10.2010.20—6.0032.72
EV/EBITDA-1.13-1.13—1.939.66
P/B0.180.180.200.421.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-3.3%-3.3%0.6%-33.1%—
EPS Growth103.1%103.1%-578.7%69.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

0.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.09

Spread vs growth

102.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

4.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.11

Spread vs growth

99.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

7.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.18

Spread vs growth

96.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -29.7%

Total return

-29.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-2.92 → 0.09

Residual

-29.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-29.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.