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2169.T$1757.00-0.17%
Fair $1757.00+0.0%

2169.T

CDS Co.,Ltd.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$1757.00

-3.00 (-0.17%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1757.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 4/9
Margin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $893.8M · quality 77.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 74/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 2169.TLocal privado en este navegador · CDS Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$12.0B

P/E

26.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

8.9x

↓

ROE

5.1%

↑

Gross Margin

28.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$1757
$1740$1850

TradingView lightweight chart

2169.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,757Periodo +649.3%
Fair value: $1,757

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-3.0%

FCF CAGR

-4.0%

FCF margin

15.4%

FCF / Net income

2.98x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $8.83B · net income $456.4M · FCF $1.36B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

28.4%-4.7% pts

Operating margin

7.8%-8.3% pts

Net margin

5.2%-5.2% pts

FCF margin

15.4%-0.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$8.83B$8.83B$10.49B$9.72B$9.66B
Net Income$456.4M$456.4M$1.06B$998.8M$1.01B
EBITDA$861.1M$861.1M$1.66B$1.64B$1.71B
EPS66.9266.92154.93146.44147.51
Gross Margin28.4%28.4%31.7%32.9%33.1%
Operating Margin7.8%7.8%14.4%15.1%16.1%
Net Margin5.2%5.2%10.1%10.3%10.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.070.080.04
Current Ratio3.583.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.36B$1.36B$893.8M$651.4M$1.54B
Returns
ROE5.1%5.1%11.9%12.0%13.1%
Valuation
P/E26.2726.2711.6911.6411.92
EV/EBITDA8.868.865.295.175.31
P/B1.351.351.391.401.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-15.9%-15.9%7.9%0.7%—
EPS Growth-56.8%-56.8%5.8%-0.7%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

32.6%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$155.90

Spread vs growth

-89.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

23.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$188.64

Spread vs growth

-79.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

16.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$303.81

Spread vs growth

-73.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.7%

Total return

+1.7%

Start / end P/E

11.6x → 26.3x

EPS bridge

154.93 → 66.92

Residual

-71.4%

EPS growth-56.8%
Multiple rerating+125.7%
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-71.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.