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2201.T$2514.50+0.92%
Fair $2514.50+0.0%

2201.T

Morinaga&Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / ConfectionersTokyo

$2514.50

+23.00 (+0.92%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2514.50Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 55/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-5.1B · quality 45.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

55/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2201.TLocal privado en este navegador · Morinaga&Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$211.1B

P/E

11.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.1x

↓

ROE

13.5%

↑

Gross Margin

39.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.15

↓
52-Week Range$2515
$2326$2895

TradingView lightweight chart

2201.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,515Periodo +328.0%
Fair value: $2,515

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+8.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.2%

FCF / Net income

-0.29x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $228.96B · net income $17.71B · FCF $-5.13B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

39.3%-2.5% pts

Operating margin

9.3%-0.5% pts

Net margin

7.7%-7.6% pts

FCF margin

-2.2%-7.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$228.96B$228.96B$213.37B$194.37B$181.25B
Net Income$17.71B$17.71B$15.15B$10.06B$27.77B
EBITDA$34.31B$34.31B$30.17B$24.13B$49.38B
EPS200.85200.85165.60104.38—
Gross Margin39.3%39.3%40.6%39.4%41.8%
Operating Margin9.3%9.3%9.5%7.8%9.8%
Net Margin7.7%7.7%7.1%5.2%15.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.150.150.150.160.08
Current Ratio1.841.84———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.13B$-5.13B$19.70B$-16.55B$9.50B
Returns
ROE13.5%13.5%11.6%8.1%21.4%
Valuation
P/E11.9211.9215.4517.99—
EV/EBITDA6.146.146.956.843.02
P/B1.691.691.781.451.50
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.3%7.3%9.8%7.2%—
EPS Growth21.3%21.3%58.7%——
Dividend Yield2.8%2.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

3.6%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$223.12

Spread vs growth

17.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

6.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$269.98

Spread vs growth

15.2%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

8.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$434.80

Spread vs growth

13.3%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +5.8%

Total return

+5.8%

Start / end P/E

14.7x → 12.5x

EPS bridge

165.60 → 200.85

Residual

-3.2%

EPS growth+21.3%
Multiple rerating-15.1%
Dividend+2.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.