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2204.TW$54.00+0.75%
Fair $54.00+0.0%

2204.TW

China Motor Corporation

Consumer Cyclical / Auto ManufacturersTaiwan

$54.00

+0.40 (+0.75%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $54.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 41/C
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-999.2M · quality 43.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

41/100

C

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2204.TWLocal privado en este navegador · China Motor Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$29.9B

P/E

9.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

7.7x

↓

ROE

7.9%

↑

Gross Margin

15.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.19

↓
52-Week Range$54
$52$70

TradingView lightweight chart

2204.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $54.00Periodo +5.3%
Fair value: $54.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+2.8%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.33x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $32.09B · net income $2.99B · FCF $-999.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

15.1%-1.3% pts

Operating margin

3.5%-3.0% pts

Net margin

9.3%+35.6% pts

FCF margin

-3.1%-6.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$32.09B$32.09B$39.24B$38.43B$29.55B
Net Income$2.99B$2.99B$4.01B$5.65B$-7.76B
EBITDA$4.33B$4.33B$5.54B$7.67B$-6.25B
EPS——7.3310.35-14.22
Gross Margin15.1%15.1%14.5%15.7%16.5%
Operating Margin3.5%3.5%4.4%6.9%6.6%
Net Margin9.3%9.3%10.2%14.7%-26.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.190.190.170.110.10
Current Ratio1.171.17———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-999.2M$-999.2M$-1.91B$1.54B$880.8M
Returns
ROE7.9%7.9%10.8%15.8%-24.0%
Valuation
P/E9.879.8711.2310.58—
EV/EBITDA7.727.728.277.65—
P/B0.790.791.211.670.91
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-18.2%-18.2%2.1%30.0%—
EPS Growth——-29.2%172.8%—
Dividend Yield6.7%6.7%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -13.9%

Total return

-13.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

7.33 → n/d

Residual

-20.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+6.7%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-20.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.