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2215.T$601.00-0.17%
Fair $601.00+0.0%

2215.T

First Baking Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Packaged FoodsTokyo

$601.00

-1.00 (-0.17%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $601.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 38/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $114.0M · quality 29.0/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

38/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 3.7%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2215.TLocal privado en este navegador · First Baking Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.2B

P/E

13.0x

↓

EV/EBITDA

1.1x

↓

ROE

3.7%

↓

Gross Margin

25.9%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$601
$512$663

TradingView lightweight chart

2215.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $602.00Periodo -70.8%
Fair value: $601.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-4.8%

FCF / Net income

-4.30x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $28.96B · net income $320.0M · FCF $-1.38B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.9%+2.0% pts

Operating margin

1.6%+3.8% pts

Net margin

1.1%+5.8% pts

FCF margin

-4.8%-5.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$28.96B$28.96B$27.18B$26.44B$24.55B
Net Income$320.0M$320.0M$2.06B$474.0M$-1.15B
EBITDA$1.01B$1.01B$2.37B$1.06B$-503.0M
EPS——296.8268.51-165.50
Gross Margin25.9%25.9%27.4%26.6%23.9%
Operating Margin1.6%1.6%2.2%2.3%-2.2%
Net Margin1.1%1.1%7.6%1.8%-4.7%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity——0.000.630.61
Current Ratio2.172.17———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-1.38B$-1.38B$114.0M$178.0M$142.0M
Returns
ROE3.7%3.7%25.5%7.6%-19.6%
Valuation
P/E12.9712.971.899.46—
EV/EBITDA1.141.14-0.025.00—
P/B0.490.490.480.720.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth6.5%6.5%2.8%7.7%—
EPS Growth——333.3%141.4%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +11.1%

Total return

+11.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

296.82 → n/d

Residual

+11.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+11.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.