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2221.T$3015.00+0.00%
Fair $3015.00+0.0%

2221.T

Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / ConfectionersTokyo

$3015.00

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $3015.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 59/C
F-Score: 8/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.9B · quality 63.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 54/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

59/100

C

Piotroski

8/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is 4.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2221.TLocal privado en este navegador · Iwatsuka Confectionery Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$30.9B

P/E

15.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

5.0x

↓

ROE

4.3%

↓

Gross Margin

27.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.01

↓
52-Week Range$3015
$2905$3370

TradingView lightweight chart

2221.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $3,015Periodo +509.1%
Fair value: $3,015

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+11.4%

FCF CAGR

+43.1%

FCF margin

7.8%

FCF / Net income

0.67x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $24.95B · net income $2.91B · FCF $1.94B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

27.9%+4.2% pts

Operating margin

3.3%+5.1% pts

Net margin

11.7%+7.1% pts

FCF margin

7.8%+4.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$24.95B$24.95B$22.00B$20.39B$18.04B
Net Income$2.91B$2.91B$1.96B$3.97B$828.1M
EBITDA$5.52B$5.52B$4.26B$6.93B$2.49B
EPS279.63279.63188.21354.2673.88
Gross Margin27.9%27.9%26.2%22.8%23.6%
Operating Margin3.3%3.3%2.7%-1.0%-1.8%
Net Margin11.7%11.7%8.9%19.5%4.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.010.010.010.020.03
Current Ratio2.612.61———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.94B$1.94B$842.8M$3.74B$662.4M
Returns
ROE4.3%4.3%3.1%6.4%1.2%
Valuation
P/E15.2715.2713.876.6426.56
EV/EBITDA5.025.025.901.428.94
P/B0.460.460.430.210.32
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth13.4%13.4%7.9%13.0%—
EPS Growth48.6%48.6%-46.9%379.5%—
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-1.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$267.53

Spread vs growth

50.0%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

3.0%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$323.71

Spread vs growth

45.6%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

6.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$521.34

Spread vs growth

42.1%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +4.3%

Total return

+4.3%

Start / end P/E

15.7x → 10.8x

EPS bridge

188.21 → 279.63

Residual

-15.2%

EPS growth+48.6%
Multiple rerating-31.2%
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-15.2%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.