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2282.SR$54.10+0.56%
Fair $54.10+0.0%

2282.SR

Naqi Water Company

Consumer Defensive / Beverages - Non-AlcoholicSaudi

$54.10

+0.30 (+0.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $54.10Fund rank 35/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 44/C
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueMargin Compression

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $36.3M · quality 71.7/100

Data gap 35/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 63/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

44/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years
Thesis & Journal · 2282.SRLocal privado en este navegador · Naqi Water Company
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.1B

P/E

82.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

17.2x

↑

ROE

11.0%

↑

Gross Margin

34.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.03

↓
52-Week Range$54
$49$65

TradingView lightweight chart

2282.SR price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $54.10Periodo -35.2%
Fair value: $54.10

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-7.6%

FCF CAGR

-38.3%

FCF margin

5.1%

FCF / Net income

0.37x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $219.3M · net income $30.2M · FCF $11.1M

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

34.9%-5.7% pts

Operating margin

11.8%-16.8% pts

Net margin

13.8%-14.1% pts

FCF margin

5.1%-11.9% pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$219.3M$219.3M$238.8M$284.3M$277.8M
Net Income$30.2M$30.2M$43.0M$48.7M$77.3M
EBITDA$58.8M$58.8M$70.9M$74.7M$98.1M
EPS1.511.512.152.443.86
Gross Margin34.9%34.9%35.7%31.7%40.7%
Operating Margin11.8%11.8%18.0%19.4%28.6%
Net Margin13.8%13.8%18.0%17.1%27.8%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.030.030.050.060.09
Current Ratio5.085.08———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$11.1M$11.1M$36.3M$65.7M$47.2M
Returns
ROE11.0%11.0%17.0%19.5%37.2%
Valuation
P/E81.9781.9735.4427.79—
EV/EBITDA17.2117.2120.5717.19—
P/B3.953.956.025.44—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-8.2%-8.2%-16.0%2.3%—
EPS Growth-29.8%-29.8%-11.9%-36.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

47.0%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$4.80

Spread vs growth

-76.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

30.9%

muy exigente

EPS terminal req.

$5.81

Spread vs growth

-60.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

20.0%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$9.35

Spread vs growth

-49.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.1%

Total return

+1.1%

Start / end P/E

24.9x → 35.8x

EPS bridge

2.15 → 1.51

Residual

-13.1%

EPS growth-29.8%
Multiple rerating+44.0%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-13.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.