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2303.T$1260.00-3.45%
Fair $1260.00+0.0%

2303.T

Dawn Corp.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$1260.00

-45.00 (-3.45%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1260.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 40/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $358.1M · quality 65.7/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 87/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

40/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2303.TLocal privado en este navegador · Dawn Corp.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$7.5B

P/E

17.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

3.7x

↓

ROE

15.2%

↑

Gross Margin

65.3%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$1260
$1087$1550

TradingView lightweight chart

2303.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,260Periodo +36.2%
Fair value: $1,260

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+10.5%

FCF CAGR

+5.8%

FCF margin

18.3%

FCF / Net income

0.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $1.65B · net income $418.8M · FCF $301.2M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

65.3%-1.7% pts

Operating margin

34.9%+2.1% pts

Net margin

25.4%+2.2% pts

FCF margin

18.3%-2.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$1.65B$1.65B$1.50B$1.37B$1.22B
Net Income$418.8M$418.8M$388.1M$321.1M$283.5M
EBITDA$579.8M$579.8M$538.2M$446.4M$403.4M
EPS136.65136.65125.09101.1188.53
Gross Margin65.3%65.3%67.8%64.9%67.0%
Operating Margin34.9%34.9%35.5%32.4%32.8%
Net Margin25.4%25.4%25.9%23.5%23.2%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio11.3011.30———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$301.2M$301.2M$397.1M$358.1M$254.4M
Returns
ROE15.2%15.2%15.6%14.4%13.3%
Valuation
P/E17.9117.917.869.9111.27
EV/EBITDA3.683.682.093.122.96
P/B1.401.401.231.431.49
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth9.7%9.7%9.7%12.0%—
EPS Growth9.2%9.2%23.7%14.2%—
Dividend Yield2.1%2.1%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$111.80

Spread vs growth

15.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$135.28

Spread vs growth

9.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$217.87

Spread vs growth

4.5%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +17.7%

Total return

+17.7%

Start / end P/E

8.7x → 9.2x

EPS bridge

125.09 → 136.65

Residual

+0.5%

EPS growth+9.2%
Multiple rerating+5.8%
Dividend+2.1%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.