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2305.KL$7.45+0.68%
Fair $7.45+0.0%

2305.KL

AYER Holdings Berhad

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentKuala Lumpur

$7.45

+0.05 (+0.68%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $7.45Fund rank 38/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 62/B
F-Score: 6/9

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 27.0/100

Data gap 38/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 83/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

62/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled.
Thesis & Journal · 2305.KLLocal privado en este navegador · AYER Holdings Berhad
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$558M

P/E

9.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.7x

↓

ROE

9.1%

↑

Gross Margin

55.4%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$7
$7$8

TradingView lightweight chart

2305.KL price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $7.450Periodo -1.3%
Fair value: $7.450

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+16.9%

FCF CAGR

+5.2%

FCF margin

23.9%

FCF / Net income

0.72x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $171.1M · net income $57.1M · FCF $41.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

55.4%-0.8% pts

Operating margin

37.6%-6.9% pts

Net margin

33.4%+0.4% pts

FCF margin

23.9%-8.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$171.1M$171.1M$107.7M$135.1M$107.0M
Net Income$57.1M$57.1M$36.9M$43.6M$35.3M
EBITDA$81.4M$81.4M$52.8M$62.2M$51.2M
EPS0.760.760.490.580.47
Gross Margin55.4%55.4%55.6%52.3%56.1%
Operating Margin37.6%37.6%33.4%43.2%44.4%
Net Margin33.4%33.4%34.3%32.3%33.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.00
Current Ratio5.415.41———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$41.0M$41.0M$50.1M$39.0M$35.2M
Returns
ROE9.1%9.1%6.0%7.3%6.2%
Valuation
P/E9.809.8014.6011.8713.98
EV/EBITDA6.686.6810.058.169.53
P/B0.890.890.870.870.87
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth58.8%58.8%-20.2%26.3%—
EPS Growth54.8%54.8%-15.2%23.3%—
Dividend Yield5.4%5.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-4.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.66

Spread vs growth

59.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.9%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$0.80

Spread vs growth

53.8%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$1.29

Spread vs growth

49.4%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.3%

Total return

-1.3%

Start / end P/E

16.2x → 9.8x

EPS bridge

0.49 → 0.76

Residual

-21.7%

EPS growth+54.8%
Multiple rerating-39.7%
Dividend+5.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-21.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.