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2315.T$63.00-1.56%
Fair $63.00+0.0%

2315.T

CAICA DIGITAL Inc.

Technology / Information Technology ServicesTokyo

$63.00

-1.00 (-1.56%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $63.00Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 16/F
F-Score: 4/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $51.7M · quality 32.3/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 15/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

16/100

F

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 4.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2315.TLocal privado en este navegador · CAICA DIGITAL Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$10.6B

P/E

51.6x

↑

EV/EBITDA

48.0x

↑

ROE

4.6%

↓

Gross Margin

17.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$63
$59$177

TradingView lightweight chart

2315.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $63.00Periodo +250.0%
Fair value: $63.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-6.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

1.0%

FCF / Net income

0.31x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $5.20B · net income $166.8M · FCF $51.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

17.1%-17.4% pts

Operating margin

1.4%+22.9% pts

Net margin

3.2%+100.1% pts

FCF margin

1.0%+23.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$5.20B$5.20B$5.61B$5.68B$6.44B
Net Income$166.8M$166.8M$30.6M$-3.89B$-6.24B
EBITDA$185.1M$185.1M$47.4M$-4.09B$-5.88B
EPS———-31.57-54.69
Gross Margin17.1%17.1%15.8%9.2%34.4%
Operating Margin1.4%1.4%2.1%-41.9%-21.6%
Net Margin3.2%3.2%0.5%-68.5%-96.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity——0.100.030.17
Current Ratio4.944.94———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$51.7M$51.7M$282.9M$-1.77B$-1.44B
Returns
ROE4.6%4.6%1.8%-178.4%-127.7%
Valuation
P/E51.6451.64———
EV/EBITDA48.0248.02127.02——
P/B2.642.643.942.602.54
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-7.3%-7.3%-1.3%-11.8%—
EPS Growth———42.3%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.6%

Total return

+1.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → n/d

Residual

+1.6%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.6%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.