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2321.HK$0.49-1.00%
Fair $0.49+0.0%

2321.HK

Swang Chai Chuan Limited

Consumer Defensive / Grocery StoresHKSE

$0.49

-0.00 (-1.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.49Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 46/C
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $24.1M · quality 44.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 18/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

46/100

C

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2321.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Swang Chai Chuan Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$495M

P/E

7.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

10.9x

↑

ROE

12.1%

↑

Gross Margin

13.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.33

↓
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

2321.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.495Periodo -37.3%
Fair value: $0.495

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.7%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-0.6%

FCF / Net income

-0.17x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $932.9M · net income $33.2M · FCF $-5.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

13.1%-0.3% pts

Operating margin

4.3%-1.2% pts

Net margin

3.6%+0.4% pts

FCF margin

-0.6%+2.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$932.9M$932.9M$913.0M$931.9M$835.9M
Net Income$33.2M$33.2M$28.1M$27.1M$26.8M
EBITDA$50.7M$50.7M$44.1M$45.1M$45.6M
EPS——0.030.030.03
Gross Margin13.1%13.1%12.4%11.8%13.4%
Operating Margin4.3%4.3%3.8%3.9%5.5%
Net Margin3.6%3.6%3.1%2.9%3.2%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.330.330.220.240.35
Current Ratio2.912.91———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.6M$-5.6M$28.7M$24.1M$-29.4M
Returns
ROE12.1%12.1%11.3%11.9%12.6%
Valuation
P/E7.077.0716.3714.3912.77
EV/EBITDA10.9010.9010.438.868.63
P/B1.811.811.851.711.60
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth2.2%2.2%-2.0%11.5%—
EPS Growth——3.7%-16.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +20.7%

Total return

+20.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.03 → n/d

Residual

+20.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+20.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.