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v0.1
2345.T$214.00+3.27%
Fair $214.00+0.0%

2345.T

HODL 1,inc.

Technology / Software - ApplicationTokyo

$214.00

+7.00 (+3.27%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $214.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 11/F
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-646.5M · quality 31.0/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 10/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

11/100

F

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -3.2%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2345.TLocal privado en este navegador · HODL 1,inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.0B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-319.4%

↓

Gross Margin

93.0%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$214
$169$377

TradingView lightweight chart

2345.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $221.00Periodo -72.0%
Fair value: $214.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-74.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2434.9%

FCF / Net income

0.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $26.6M · net income $-1.37B · FCF $-646.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

93.0%+44.4% pts

Operating margin

-1844.3%-1856.6% pts

Net margin

-5147.0%-5185.3% pts

FCF margin

-2434.9%-2373.1% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$26.6M$26.6M$1.61B$962.8M$1.62B
Net Income$-1.37B$-1.37B$-1.96B$-2.74B$619.0M
EBITDA$-1.36B$-1.36B$-1.66B$-2.33B$854.0M
EPS——-114.63-186.3648.54
Gross Margin93.0%93.0%39.6%-58.0%48.6%
Operating Margin-1844.3%-1844.3%-70.3%-131.4%12.3%
Net Margin-5147.0%-5147.0%-121.5%-284.9%38.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity——0.960.350.05
Current Ratio2.032.03———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-646.5M$-646.5M$-700.2M$-267.7M$-999.6M
Returns
ROE-319.4%-319.4%-136.9%-93.5%10.6%
Valuation
P/E————10.30
EV/EBITDA————6.46
P/B9.299.294.221.741.09
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-98.4%-98.4%67.6%-40.5%—
EPS Growth——38.5%-483.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.8%

Total return

+1.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-114.63 → n/d

Residual

+1.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+1.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.