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2385.T$241.00-2.03%
Fair $241.00+0.0%

2385.T

Soiken Holdings Inc.

Healthcare / BiotechnologyTokyo

$241.00

-5.00 (-2.03%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $241.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 18/F
F-Score: 5/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 15%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-141.1M · quality 33.3/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 21/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

18/100

F

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -3.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2385.TLocal privado en este navegador · Soiken Holdings Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.3B

P/E

37.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-3.5%

↓

Gross Margin

49.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$241
$151$325

TradingView lightweight chart

2385.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $241.00Periodo -92.5%
Fair value: $241.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-19.7%

FCF CAGR

-37.1%

FCF margin

10.7%

FCF / Net income

-2.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.85B · net income $-210.7M · FCF $520.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

49.7%+4.1% pts

Operating margin

-2.8%-15.8% pts

Net margin

-4.3%-13.0% pts

FCF margin

10.7%-11.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.85B$4.85B$5.16B$8.08B$9.35B
Net Income$-210.7M$-210.7M$-662.2M$451.8M$809.7M
EBITDA$-119.1M$-119.1M$-583.2M$750.5M$1.23B
EPS-8.05-8.05-25.3217.2730.95
Gross Margin49.7%49.7%48.1%46.0%45.6%
Operating Margin-2.8%-2.8%-11.8%9.0%12.9%
Net Margin-4.3%-4.3%-12.8%5.6%8.7%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio9.449.44———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$520.5M$520.5M$-895.4M$-141.1M$2.09B
Returns
ROE-3.5%-3.5%-10.6%6.5%12.2%
Valuation
P/E37.0237.02—16.6810.79
EV/EBITDA———2.122.21
P/B1.051.050.711.081.31
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-6.0%-6.0%-36.2%-13.6%—
EPS Growth68.2%68.2%-246.6%-44.2%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +60.6%

Total return

+60.6%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-25.32 → -8.05

Residual

+56.5%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+56.5%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.