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2388.T$43.00-2.27%
Fair $43.00+0.0%

2388.T

Wedge Holdings CO.,LTD.

Industrials / ConglomeratesTokyo

$43.00

-1.00 (-2.27%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $43.00Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 3/9
Margin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-15.6M · quality 45.7/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 16/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is -7.6%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2388.TLocal privado en este navegador · Wedge Holdings CO.,LTD.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$1.8B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-7.6%

↓

Gross Margin

34.7%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.15

↓
52-Week Range$43
$39$115

TradingView lightweight chart

2388.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $43.00Periodo -96.9%
Fair value: $43.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+6.1%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.0%

FCF / Net income

0.07x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $816.2M · net income $-226.6M · FCF $-16.1M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

34.7%-5.4% pts

Operating margin

-11.2%-23.7% pts

Net margin

-27.8%-35.9% pts

FCF margin

-2.0%-7.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$816.2M$816.2M$861.0M$765.9M$682.7M
Net Income$-226.6M$-226.6M$-943.0M$-513.2M$55.2M
EBITDA$-178.5M$-178.5M$-883.3M$-474.1M$127.5M
EPS——-22.21-13.691.54
Gross Margin34.7%34.7%46.1%38.0%40.2%
Operating Margin-11.2%-11.2%-1.7%4.8%12.5%
Net Margin-27.8%-27.8%-109.5%-67.0%8.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.150.150.150.120.15
Current Ratio10.0110.01———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-16.1M$-16.1M$-15.6M$84.8M$37.4M
Returns
ROE-7.6%-7.6%-30.9%-15.2%1.9%
Valuation
P/E————76.62
EV/EBITDA————34.70
P/B0.610.610.931.331.45
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.2%-5.2%12.4%12.2%—
EPS Growth——-62.2%-989.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -43.4%

Total return

-43.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-22.21 → n/d

Residual

-43.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-43.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.