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2392.HK$1.29+0.78%
Fair $1.29+0.0%

2392.HK

Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings Limited

Technology / Software - ApplicationHKSE

$1.29

+0.01 (+0.78%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1.29Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 3/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-6.7M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 8/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -19.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2392.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Xuan Wu Cloud Technology Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$716M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-19.5%

↓

Gross Margin

14.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.48

↑
52-Week Range$1
$1$2

TradingView lightweight chart

2392.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1.290Periodo -79.5%
Fair value: $1.290

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-9.9%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

9.6%

FCF / Net income

-1.34x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $763.4M · net income $-54.3M · FCF $72.9M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.4%-7.3% pts

Operating margin

-4.0%-1.1% pts

Net margin

-7.1%-3.7% pts

FCF margin

9.6%+23.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$763.4M$763.4M$1.07B$1.28B$1.04B
Net Income$-54.3M$-54.3M$6.9M$-72.4M$-35.7M
EBITDA$-24.3M$-24.3M$38.2M$-55.6M$-19.0M
EPS——0.01-0.13-0.07
Gross Margin14.4%14.4%15.4%16.0%21.6%
Operating Margin-4.0%-4.0%3.0%-4.7%-3.0%
Net Margin-7.1%-7.1%0.6%-5.6%-3.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.480.480.480.530.28
Current Ratio1.871.87———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$72.9M$72.9M$-81.9M$-6.7M$-145.5M
Returns
ROE-19.5%-19.5%2.1%-21.5%-8.5%
Valuation
P/E——70.83——
EV/EBITDA——14.62——
P/B2.582.581.424.103.87
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-28.7%-28.7%-16.4%22.8%—
EPS Growth——109.3%-95.5%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +22.9%

Total return

+22.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.01 → n/d

Residual

+22.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+22.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.