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2408.T$876.00-1.68%
Fair $876.00+0.0%

2408.T

KG Intelligence CO., LTD.

Communication Services / PublishingTokyo

$876.00

-15.00 (-1.68%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $876.00Fund rank 25/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $212.8M · quality 34.7/100

Data gap 25/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 28/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2408.TLocal privado en este navegador · KG Intelligence CO., LTD.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$6.4B

P/E

19.1x

↑

EV/EBITDA

2.9x

↓

ROE

5.6%

↑

Gross Margin

30.3%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$876
$600$949

TradingView lightweight chart

2408.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $876.00Periodo -56.2%
Fair value: $876.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.2%

FCF CAGR

-24.3%

FCF margin

7.8%

FCF / Net income

0.63x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.74B · net income $335.8M · FCF $212.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

30.3%+6.7% pts

Operating margin

16.1%+5.8% pts

Net margin

12.3%-1.3% pts

FCF margin

7.8%-12.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.74B$2.74B$2.47B$2.66B$2.49B
Net Income$335.8M$335.8M$241.0M$371.4M$337.7M
EBITDA$480.9M$480.9M$352.0M$413.0M$308.2M
EPS——32.9951.3546.68
Gross Margin30.3%30.3%27.0%27.9%23.6%
Operating Margin16.1%16.1%12.4%13.8%10.3%
Net Margin12.3%12.3%9.8%14.0%13.6%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio10.4510.45———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$212.8M$212.8M$-325.6M$264.3M$491.0M
Returns
ROE5.6%5.6%4.1%6.2%6.0%
Valuation
P/E19.0919.0917.5511.107.33
EV/EBITDA2.852.85-2.40-3.83-9.90
P/B1.061.060.720.690.44
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.9%10.9%-7.2%6.8%—
EPS Growth——-35.8%10.0%—
Dividend Yield4.2%4.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +43.5%

Total return

+43.5%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

32.99 → n/d

Residual

+39.3%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+39.3%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.