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v0.1
2411.T$441.00-0.68%
Fair $441.00+0.0%

2411.T

Gendai Agency Inc.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesTokyo

$441.00

-3.00 (-0.68%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $441.00Fund rank 37/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 60/B
F-Score: 6/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $289.0M · quality 79.7/100

Data gap 37/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 75/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

60/100

B

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2411.TLocal privado en este navegador · Gendai Agency Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$4.9B

P/E

10.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

4.7x

↓

ROE

8.5%

↑

Gross Margin

31.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.16

↓
52-Week Range$441
$378$514

TradingView lightweight chart

2411.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $441.00Periodo -63.4%
Fair value: $441.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+1.1%

FCF CAGR

+13.4%

FCF margin

6.0%

FCF / Net income

1.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.68B · net income $358.0M · FCF $458.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

31.5%+2.9% pts

Operating margin

5.5%+1.5% pts

Net margin

4.7%+1.3% pts

FCF margin

6.0%+1.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.68B$7.68B$7.42B$7.54B$7.43B
Net Income$358.0M$358.0M$125.0M$369.0M$247.0M
EBITDA$516.0M$516.0M$335.0M$474.0M$369.0M
EPS29.1629.1610.1727.8516.90
Gross Margin31.5%31.5%29.5%30.2%28.6%
Operating Margin5.5%5.5%3.4%5.3%4.0%
Net Margin4.7%4.7%1.7%4.9%3.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.160.160.140.190.21
Current Ratio3.583.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$458.0M$458.0M$184.0M$289.0M$314.0M
Returns
ROE8.5%8.5%3.1%8.4%5.5%
Valuation
P/E10.4510.4535.7915.4817.93
EV/EBITDA4.664.664.775.983.77
P/B1.291.291.101.300.99
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.5%3.5%-1.7%1.6%—
EPS Growth186.7%186.7%-63.5%64.8%—
Dividend Yield5.9%5.9%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

10.3%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$39.13

Spread vs growth

176.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$47.35

Spread vs growth

176.5%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$76.26

Spread vs growth

176.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +21.9%

Total return

+21.9%

Start / end P/E

37.4x → 15.1x

EPS bridge

10.17 → 29.16

Residual

-111.1%

EPS growth+186.7%
Multiple rerating-59.5%
Dividend+5.9%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-111.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.