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2415.T$1530.00-0.91%
Fair $1530.00+0.0%

2415.T

Human Holdings Co., Ltd.

Consumer Defensive / Education & Training ServicesTokyo

$1530.00

-14.00 (-0.91%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $1530.00Fund rank 31/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 47/C
F-Score: 7/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.3B · quality 54.0/100

Data gap 31/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 44/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

47/100

C

Piotroski

7/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 2415.TLocal privado en este navegador · Human Holdings Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$15.9B

P/E

7.2x

↓

EV/EBITDA

-0.5x

↓

ROE

14.4%

↑

Gross Margin

25.7%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.54

↑
52-Week Range$1530
$1496$2111

TradingView lightweight chart

2415.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $1,530Periodo -39.5%
Fair value: $1,530

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+5.2%

FCF CAGR

-60.5%

FCF margin

0.0%

FCF / Net income

0.02x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $100.33B · net income $2.61B · FCF $42.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

25.7%+0.4% pts

Operating margin

3.4%+0.5% pts

Net margin

2.6%+0.7% pts

FCF margin

0.0%-0.8% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$100.33B$100.33B$95.90B$91.57B$86.29B
Net Income$2.61B$2.61B$2.16B$1.45B$1.65B
EBITDA$4.60B$4.60B$4.12B$3.32B$3.64B
EPS251.21251.21202.20133.51151.41
Gross Margin25.7%25.7%25.6%24.9%25.3%
Operating Margin3.4%3.4%3.3%2.5%2.9%
Net Margin2.6%2.6%2.2%1.6%1.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.540.540.660.770.80
Current Ratio1.781.78———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$42.3M$42.3M$3.22B$1.32B$685.2M
Returns
ROE14.4%14.4%13.4%9.9%12.1%
Valuation
P/E7.167.166.386.825.90
EV/EBITDA-0.47-0.47-1.15-1.81-1.35
P/B0.880.880.850.670.71
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth4.6%4.6%4.7%6.1%—
EPS Growth24.2%24.2%51.4%-11.8%—
Dividend Yield8.8%8.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-18.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$135.76

Spread vs growth

42.8%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-8.1%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$164.27

Spread vs growth

32.4%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

0.5%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$264.56

Spread vs growth

23.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +0.8%

Total return

+0.8%

Start / end P/E

8.2x → 6.1x

EPS bridge

202.20 → 251.21

Residual

-6.3%

EPS growth+24.2%
Multiple rerating-25.9%
Dividend+8.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-6.3%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.