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2418.HK$2.50-5.66%
Fair $2.50+0.0%

2418.HK

Deewin Tianxia Co., Ltd

Consumer Cyclical / Auto & Truck DealershipsHKSE

$2.50

-0.15 (-5.66%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.50Fund rank 20/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 31/D
F-Score: 3/9
High DebtMargin CompressionLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 11%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $82.8M · quality 23.0/100

Data gap 20/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 17/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

31/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.01, above the 2.0 threshold Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.0%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2418.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Deewin Tianxia Co., Ltd
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.4B

P/E

83.3x

↑

EV/EBITDA

62.1x

↑

ROE

2.0%

↓

Gross Margin

14.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

2.01

↑
52-Week Range$3
$2$11

TradingView lightweight chart

2418.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.500Periodo +38.9%
Fair value: $2.500

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+0.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

3.0%

FCF / Net income

1.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.76B · net income $68.3M · FCF $82.8M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

14.4%-3.8% pts

Operating margin

8.2%-4.8% pts

Net margin

2.5%-5.8% pts

FCF margin

3.0%+9.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.76B$2.76B$2.63B$3.12B$2.73B
Net Income$68.3M$68.3M$153.2M$149.3M$226.4M
EBITDA$186.4M$186.4M$286.2M$298.8M$364.2M
EPS——0.070.070.12
Gross Margin14.4%14.4%16.4%16.5%18.1%
Operating Margin8.2%8.2%9.8%10.7%13.0%
Net Margin2.5%2.5%5.8%4.8%8.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.012.011.521.411.40
Current Ratio1.421.42———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$82.8M$82.8M$-118.6M$204.6M$-180.1M
Returns
ROE2.0%2.0%4.6%4.5%6.8%
Valuation
P/E83.3383.3318.0027.298.00
EV/EBITDA62.1062.1024.3326.6414.68
P/B1.631.630.821.280.55
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth5.1%5.1%-15.8%14.3%—
EPS Growth——0.0%-41.7%—
Dividend Yield1.4%1.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +35.1%

Total return

+35.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.07 → n/d

Residual

+33.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+1.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+33.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.