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2418.T$571.00-2.89%
Fair $571.00+0.0%

2418.T

TSUKADA GLOBAL HOLDINGS Inc.

Consumer Cyclical / Personal ServicesTokyo

$571.00

-17.00 (-2.89%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $571.00Fund rank 22/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 32/D
F-Score: 4/9
High Debt

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 35% · confianza 12%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-106.0M · quality 27.0/100

Data gap 22/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 22/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

32/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists. Debt-to-Equity ratio is 2.09, above the 2.0 threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2418.TLocal privado en este navegador · TSUKADA GLOBAL HOLDINGS Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$26.9B

P/E

5.8x

↓

EV/EBITDA

5.9x

↓

ROE

12.8%

↑

Gross Margin

41.8%

↑

Debt/Equity

2.09

↑
52-Week Range$571
$534$755

TradingView lightweight chart

2418.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $571.00Periodo +7.1%
Fair value: $571.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+12.2%

FCF CAGR

+3.3%

FCF margin

9.1%

FCF / Net income

1.39x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $73.09B · net income $4.77B · FCF $6.65B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

41.8%+8.0% pts

Operating margin

13.1%+7.3% pts

Net margin

6.5%+3.6% pts

FCF margin

9.1%-2.6% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$73.09B$73.09B$63.55B$57.47B$51.70B
Net Income$4.77B$4.77B$5.15B$4.73B$1.50B
EBITDA$13.10B$13.10B$12.42B$10.47B$8.30B
EPS100.62100.62107.9299.1631.42
Gross Margin41.8%41.8%40.2%37.7%33.8%
Operating Margin13.1%13.1%11.7%9.3%5.8%
Net Margin6.5%6.5%8.1%8.2%2.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity2.092.091.841.812.08
Current Ratio1.381.38———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$6.65B$6.65B$-106.0M$-907.0M$6.03B
Returns
ROE12.8%12.8%16.0%17.4%6.6%
Valuation
P/E5.845.844.073.8211.08
EV/EBITDA5.865.864.764.615.17
P/B0.730.730.650.660.73
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth15.0%15.0%10.6%11.2%—
EPS Growth-6.8%-6.8%8.8%215.6%—
Dividend Yield2.4%2.4%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-20.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$50.67

Spread vs growth

13.7%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-9.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$61.31

Spread vs growth

2.7%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.2%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$98.74

Spread vs growth

-6.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.6%

Total return

-4.6%

Start / end P/E

5.7x → 5.7x

EPS bridge

107.92 → 100.62

Residual

+0.0%

EPS growth-6.8%
Multiple rerating-0.3%
Dividend+2.4%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+0.0%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.