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v0.1
2421.HK$0.62-1.59%
Fair $0.62+0.0%

2421.HK

KRP Development Holdings Limited

Real Estate / Real Estate - DevelopmentHKSE

$0.62

-0.01 (-1.59%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.62Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 43/C
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueMargin CompressionLow Profitability

Book/ROE base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · P/B n/d

Book/ROE base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 100% · confianza 20%

Book/ROE escenarios

weak_data · book/share n/d · quality 53.0/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 13/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

43/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 3unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific NAV/AFFO model required: REIT/real-estate targets are disabled until FFO/AFFO/NAV/cap-rate data exists. REIT NAV/AFFO valuation requires positive AFFO/share history or TTM AFFO/share; generic FCF remains disabled. Revenue has declined for 3 consecutive years Operating margin has declined for 3 consecutive years ROE is 2.3%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2421.HKLocal privado en este navegador · KRP Development Holdings Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$313M

P/E

31.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

3.4x

↓

ROE

2.3%

↓

Gross Margin

58.5%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.00

↓
52-Week Range$1
$1$1

TradingView lightweight chart

2421.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.620Periodo -61.3%
Fair value: $0.620

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-38.4%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-2.9%

FCF / Net income

-0.26x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $181.7M · net income $20.2M · FCF $-5.3M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

58.5%-17.2% pts

Operating margin

35.1%-35.4% pts

Net margin

11.1%-20.3% pts

FCF margin

-2.9%-65.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$181.7M$181.7M$226.9M$700.8M$775.6M
Net Income$20.2M$20.2M$40.1M$180.8M$243.7M
EBITDA$53.9M$53.9M$87.4M$456.8M$562.9M
EPS0.040.040.080.360.48
Gross Margin58.5%58.5%64.2%73.8%75.7%
Operating Margin35.1%35.1%43.3%64.8%70.5%
Net Margin11.1%11.1%17.7%25.8%31.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.000.000.000.000.32
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-5.3M$-5.3M$-79.4M$-10.4M$481.8M
Returns
ROE2.3%2.3%4.7%21.8%32.5%
Valuation
P/E31.0031.009.873.91—
EV/EBITDA3.393.392.550.99—
P/B0.360.360.460.85—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-19.9%-19.9%-67.6%-9.6%—
EPS Growth-49.4%-49.4%-77.9%-25.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

11.2%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.06

Spread vs growth

-60.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

10.7%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.07

Spread vs growth

-60.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

10.4%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$0.11

Spread vs growth

-59.7%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.6%

Total return

+1.6%

Start / end P/E

7.7x → 15.5x

EPS bridge

0.08 → 0.04

Residual

-49.7%

EPS growth-49.4%
Multiple rerating+100.7%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-49.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.