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2428.T$600.00-1.29%
Fair $600.00+0.0%

2428.T

Wellnet Corporation

Technology / Software - InfrastructureTokyo

$600.00

-8.00 (-1.29%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $600.00Fund rank 32/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 21/D
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 25% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.9B · quality 54.0/100

Data gap 32/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 65/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

21/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2428.TLocal privado en este navegador · Wellnet Corporation
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$11.4B

P/E

11.1x

↓

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

10.0%

↑

Gross Margin

21.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$600
$609$797

TradingView lightweight chart

2428.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $611.00Periodo +17357.1%
Fair value: $600.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2021–2024 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

—

FCF / Net income

—

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $10.13B · net income $836.8M · FCF —

2021-FY → 2024-FY

Gross margin

21.1%+6.1% pts

Operating margin

12.1%+5.6% pts

Net margin

8.3%+3.8% pts

FCF margin

—— pts
MetricTTM
2024
2023
2022
2021
Income Statement
Revenue$10.13B$10.13B$9.42B$8.95B$8.84B
Net Income$836.8M$836.8M$635.5M$532.2M$393.9M
EBITDA$1.54B$1.54B$1.37B$1.23B$1.04B
EPS——33.4428.1520.87
Gross Margin21.1%21.1%19.6%16.4%15.1%
Operating Margin12.1%12.1%10.0%8.2%6.4%
Net Margin8.3%8.3%6.7%5.9%4.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity——0.230.260.28
Current Ratio1.221.22———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow——$890.9M$2.99B$945.1M
Returns
ROE10.0%10.0%8.1%7.2%5.5%
Valuation
P/E11.1511.1517.3116.0225.16
EV/EBITDA——-0.92-2.211.36
P/B——1.411.151.38
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth7.5%7.5%5.3%1.2%—
EPS Growth——18.8%34.9%—
Dividend Yield4.8%4.8%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -9.4%

Total return

-9.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

33.44 → n/d

Residual

-14.2%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.8%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-14.2%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.