StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
2429.HK$2.09+0.97%
Fair $2.09+0.0%

2429.HK

Beijing UBOX Online Technology Corp.

Consumer Defensive / Grocery StoresHKSE

$2.09

+0.02 (+0.97%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2.09Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 6/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 20%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $40.3M · quality 44.7/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 19/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

6/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -5.8%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2429.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Beijing UBOX Online Technology Corp.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.1B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

27.0x

↑

ROE

-5.8%

↓

Gross Margin

37.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.07

↓
52-Week Range$2
$2$4

TradingView lightweight chart

2429.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2.090Periodo -85.7%
Fair value: $2.090

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.1%

FCF CAGR

+98.2%

FCF margin

2.3%

FCF / Net income

-0.91x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $2.76B · net income $-68.7M · FCF $62.5M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

37.1%-5.6% pts

Operating margin

-2.3%+6.7% pts

Net margin

-2.5%+8.8% pts

FCF margin

2.3%+1.9% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$2.76B$2.76B$2.92B$2.67B$2.52B
Net Income$-68.7M$-68.7M$-197.3M$-327.3M$-284.5M
EBITDA$43.5M$43.5M$-67.0M$-50.8M$-1.1M
EPS-0.08-0.08-0.25-0.43-0.36
Gross Margin37.1%37.1%35.7%40.7%42.7%
Operating Margin-2.3%-2.3%-4.3%-10.4%-9.1%
Net Margin-2.5%-2.5%-6.8%-12.2%-11.3%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.070.070.160.110.13
Current Ratio2.332.33———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$62.5M$62.5M$-24.6M$40.3M$8.0M
Returns
ROE-5.8%-5.8%-24.8%-34.5%-29.0%
Valuation
EV/EBITDA26.9926.99———
P/B1.521.523.1013.24—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-5.5%-5.5%9.2%6.1%—
EPS Growth68.0%68.0%41.9%-17.9%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -11.4%

Total return

-11.4%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.25 → -0.08

Residual

-11.4%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-11.4%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.