StockAnalyzer

Financial Analysis

DashboardSectorsComparablesScreenerUniverseMicrocapsAI 2nd OrderTheme MapEnergy & MaterialsMacroWatchlistCompareMi CarteraPortfolio

Recent

v0.1
2438.HK$0.40+1.27%
Fair $0.40+0.0%

2438.HK

Mobvoi Inc.

Technology / Software - InfrastructureHKSE

$0.40

+0.00 (+1.27%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.40Fund rank 26/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 22/D
F-Score: 2/9
Declining RevenueLow Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 18%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-111.6M · quality 46.3/100

Data gap 26/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 12/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

22/100

D

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 2unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. Revenue has declined for 2 consecutive years ROE is -29.5%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2438.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Mobvoi Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$620M

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

N/A

•

ROE

-29.5%

↓

Gross Margin

50.1%

↑

Debt/Equity

0.24

↑
52-Week Range$0
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

2438.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.400Periodo -89.1%
Fair value: $0.400

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-13.6%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-34.6%

FCF / Net income

1.62x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $323.0M · net income $-68.9M · FCF $-111.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

50.1%-17.1% pts

Operating margin

-24.0%-39.3% pts

Net margin

-21.3%+112.6% pts

FCF margin

-34.6%-48.0% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$323.0M$323.0M$390.3M$507.1M$500.2M
Net Income$-68.9M$-68.9M$-721.5M$-802.6M$-669.8M
EBITDA$-57.3M$-57.3M$-707.6M$-789.4M$-672.6M
EPS——-0.59-0.54-0.45
Gross Margin50.1%50.1%52.1%64.3%67.2%
Operating Margin-24.0%-24.0%-54.5%-9.4%15.3%
Net Margin-21.3%-21.3%-184.8%-158.3%-133.9%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.240.240.10-0.00-0.01
Current Ratio2.572.57———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-111.6M$-111.6M$-177.4M$21.9M$67.3M
Returns
ROE-29.5%-29.5%-237.1%19.4%20.3%
Valuation
P/B2.652.652.71——
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-17.2%-17.2%-23.0%1.4%—
EPS Growth——-9.6%-19.8%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +8.1%

Total return

+8.1%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.59 → n/d

Residual

+8.1%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+8.1%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.