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2438.T$350.00-0.85%
Fair $350.00+0.0%

2438.T

Asukanet Co., Ltd.

Consumer Cyclical / Personal ServicesTokyo

$350.00

-3.00 (-0.85%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $350.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 27/D
F-Score: 3/9
Low Profitability

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $416.2M · quality 62.3/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 77/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

27/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 1unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified. ROE is -4.9%, below the 5% threshold
Thesis & Journal · 2438.TLocal privado en este navegador · Asukanet Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.3B

P/E

N/A

•

EV/EBITDA

6.7x

↓

ROE

-4.9%

↓

Gross Margin

41.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$350
$309$468

TradingView lightweight chart

2438.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $350.00Periodo -44.0%
Fair value: $350.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.7%

FCF CAGR

+12.4%

FCF margin

7.7%

FCF / Net income

-2.11x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.26B · net income $-263.1M · FCF $555.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

41.9%-5.7% pts

Operating margin

2.4%-4.6% pts

Net margin

-3.6%-8.9% pts

FCF margin

7.7%+1.5% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.26B$7.26B$7.04B$6.98B$6.33B
Net Income$-263.1M$-263.1M$214.4M$482.5M$332.8M
EBITDA$588.1M$588.1M$845.9M$1.00B$908.4M
EPS-16.30-16.3013.0128.9419.76
Gross Margin41.9%41.9%45.7%47.0%47.6%
Operating Margin2.4%2.4%6.4%8.4%6.9%
Net Margin-3.6%-3.6%3.0%6.9%5.3%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio3.643.64———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$555.7M$555.7M$230.7M$416.2M$391.5M
Returns
ROE-4.9%-4.9%3.5%7.8%5.5%
Valuation
P/E——47.0432.4852.28
EV/EBITDA6.746.749.9613.5816.95
P/B1.051.051.642.532.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth3.2%3.2%0.9%10.2%—
EPS Growth-225.3%-225.3%-55.0%46.5%—
Dividend Yield2.0%2.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -14.7%

Total return

-14.7%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

13.01 → -16.30

Residual

-16.7%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+2.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-16.7%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.