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2445.T$380.00-0.77%
Fair $380.00+0.0%

2445.T

Takamiya Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Rental & Leasing ServicesTokyo

$380.00

-3.00 (-0.77%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $380.00Fund rank 19/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 35/D
F-Score: 1/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 14%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-3.7B · quality 25.7/100

Data gap 19/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 5/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

35/100

D

Piotroski

1/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2445.TLocal privado en este navegador · Takamiya Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$17.4B

P/E

10.4x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.2x

↓

ROE

5.5%

↓

Gross Margin

32.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.79

↑
52-Week Range$380
$315$482

TradingView lightweight chart

2445.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $387.00Periodo +53.3%
Fair value: $380.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+3.3%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-9.0%

FCF / Net income

-3.21x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $43.83B · net income $1.23B · FCF $-3.95B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

32.2%+4.1% pts

Operating margin

4.7%+0.5% pts

Net margin

2.8%+0.4% pts

FCF margin

-9.0%-12.2% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$43.83B$43.83B$44.13B$41.89B$39.80B
Net Income$1.23B$1.23B$1.89B$1.46B$965.0M
EBITDA$8.01B$8.01B$8.88B$7.49B$6.66B
EPS25.6125.6139.0030.2820.10
Gross Margin32.2%32.2%32.7%30.0%28.1%
Operating Margin4.7%4.7%7.7%5.4%4.2%
Net Margin2.8%2.8%4.3%3.5%2.4%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.791.791.481.411.42
Current Ratio1.211.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-3.95B$-3.95B$-3.70B$-1.06B$1.27B
Returns
ROE5.5%5.5%8.6%7.2%5.0%
Valuation
P/E10.4510.4514.1313.4717.76
EV/EBITDA6.176.175.795.355.34
P/B0.810.811.210.970.89
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-0.7%-0.7%5.3%5.3%—
EPS Growth-34.3%-34.3%28.8%50.6%—
Dividend Yield5.2%5.2%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

9.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$33.72

Spread vs growth

-43.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

9.8%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$40.80

Spread vs growth

-44.1%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

9.9%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$65.71

Spread vs growth

-44.2%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +20.7%

Total return

+20.7%

Start / end P/E

8.6x → 15.1x

EPS bridge

39.00 → 25.61

Residual

-26.1%

EPS growth-34.3%
Multiple rerating+75.9%
Dividend+5.2%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-26.1%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.