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245A.T$2321.00-2.07%
Fair $2321.00+0.0%

245A.T

245A.T

Consumer Cyclical / RestaurantsTokyo

$2321.00

-49.00 (-2.07%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2321.00Fund rank 28/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 39/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 26% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $78.4M · quality 36.3/100

Data gap 28/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 42/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

39/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 245A.TLocal privado en este navegador · 245A.T
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$5.9B

P/E

16.5x

↓

EV/EBITDA

8.3x

↓

ROE

26.1%

↑

Gross Margin

66.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

1.48

↑
52-Week Range$2321
$2250$3720

TradingView lightweight chart

245A.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,321Periodo -14.0%
Fair value: $2,321

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+30.4%

FCF CAGR

-51.7%

FCF margin

1.0%

FCF / Net income

0.28x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.73B · net income $272.4M · FCF $75.7M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

66.9%+0.4% pts

Operating margin

6.3%+5.0% pts

Net margin

3.5%-2.6% pts

FCF margin

1.0%-18.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.73B$7.73B$6.42B$5.26B$3.49B
Net Income$272.4M$272.4M$285.9M$68.2M$213.0M
EBITDA$705.2M$705.2M$676.9M$350.1M$535.4M
EPS107.59107.59142.9528.0587.59
Gross Margin66.9%66.9%66.1%65.7%66.5%
Operating Margin6.3%6.3%7.0%5.4%1.3%
Net Margin3.5%3.5%4.5%1.3%6.1%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity1.481.482.243.123.22
Current Ratio1.621.62———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$75.7M$75.7M$320.7M$78.4M$672.3M
Returns
ROE26.1%26.1%37.1%14.1%51.2%
Valuation
P/E16.4616.46———
EV/EBITDA8.288.28———
P/B5.635.63———
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth20.5%20.5%22.0%50.8%—
EPS Growth-24.7%-24.7%409.6%-68.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

24.2%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$205.95

Spread vs growth

-48.9%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

18.3%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$249.20

Spread vs growth

-43.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

14.1%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$401.34

Spread vs growth

-38.8%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -1.9%

Total return

-1.9%

Start / end P/E

16.6x → 21.6x

EPS bridge

142.95 → 107.59

Residual

-7.5%

EPS growth-24.7%
Multiple rerating+30.3%
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-7.5%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.