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2461.T$410.00-2.38%
Fair $410.00+0.0%

2461.T

FAN Communications, Inc.

Communication Services / Advertising AgenciesTokyo

$410.00

-10.00 (-2.38%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $410.00Fund rank 33/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 5/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 24% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $1.3B · quality 64.7/100

Data gap 33/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 78/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

5/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2461.TLocal privado en este navegador · FAN Communications, Inc.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$26.9B

P/E

20.8x

↑

EV/EBITDA

5.6x

↓

ROE

7.4%

↑

Gross Margin

86.9%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$410
$400$549

TradingView lightweight chart

2461.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $410.00Periodo -49.1%
Fair value: $410.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-2.8%

FCF CAGR

-6.5%

FCF margin

27.1%

FCF / Net income

1.47x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $7.10B · net income $1.31B · FCF $1.92B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

86.9%+8.0% pts

Operating margin

27.7%-3.4% pts

Net margin

18.4%-1.4% pts

FCF margin

27.1%-3.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$7.10B$7.10B$6.96B$7.40B$7.74B
Net Income$1.31B$1.31B$1.42B$1.23B$1.54B
EBITDA$2.22B$2.22B$1.78B$2.19B$2.55B
EPS19.7319.7321.4318.6122.34
Gross Margin86.9%86.9%84.6%80.2%78.8%
Operating Margin27.7%27.7%22.9%28.0%31.1%
Net Margin18.4%18.4%20.4%16.7%19.8%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio3.213.21———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$1.92B$1.92B$1.10B$1.34B$2.35B
Returns
ROE7.4%7.4%7.9%6.9%8.6%
Valuation
P/E20.7720.7718.7121.4918.17
EV/EBITDA5.635.635.424.204.29
P/B1.551.551.471.481.55
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth1.9%1.9%-5.9%-4.4%—
EPS Growth-7.9%-7.9%15.2%-16.7%—
Dividend Yield5.0%5.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

22.6%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$36.38

Spread vs growth

-30.6%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

17.4%

exigente

EPS terminal req.

$44.02

Spread vs growth

-25.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

13.6%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$70.90

Spread vs growth

-21.6%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +1.7%

Total return

+1.7%

Start / end P/E

19.8x → 20.8x

EPS bridge

21.43 → 19.73

Residual

-0.4%

EPS growth-7.9%
Multiple rerating+5.0%
Dividend+5.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-0.4%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.