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2481.T$665.00-1.04%
Fair $665.00+0.0%

2481.T

Townnews-Sha Co.,Ltd.

Communication Services / PublishingTokyo

$665.00

-7.00 (-1.04%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $665.00Fund rank 34/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 4/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 23% · confianza 25%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $348.8M · quality 67.7/100

Data gap 34/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 84/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

4/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2481.TLocal privado en este navegador · Townnews-Sha Co.,Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$3.7B

P/E

9.6x

↓

EV/EBITDA

2.7x

↓

ROE

7.6%

↑

Gross Margin

67.2%

↑

Debt/Equity

N/A

•
52-Week Range$665
$643$829

TradingView lightweight chart

2481.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $665.00Periodo -57.6%
Fair value: $665.00

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+4.2%

FCF CAGR

-1.4%

FCF margin

9.5%

FCF / Net income

0.89x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $3.68B · net income $389.1M · FCF $347.6M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

67.2%+2.6% pts

Operating margin

12.6%+0.9% pts

Net margin

10.6%+1.0% pts

FCF margin

9.5%-1.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$3.68B$3.68B$3.74B$3.69B$3.25B
Net Income$389.1M$389.1M$492.6M$430.0M$311.0M
EBITDA$508.5M$508.5M$625.9M$666.3M$495.3M
EPS70.4970.4989.2377.8956.33
Gross Margin67.2%67.2%66.6%64.9%64.6%
Operating Margin12.6%12.6%15.4%15.4%11.7%
Net Margin10.6%10.6%13.2%11.6%9.6%
Balance Sheet
Current Ratio4.854.85———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$347.6M$347.6M$348.8M$395.2M$363.0M
Returns
ROE7.6%7.6%10.3%9.9%7.9%
Valuation
P/E9.609.608.528.817.12
EV/EBITDA2.742.743.622.840.73
P/B0.720.720.870.870.56
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-1.6%-1.6%1.2%13.7%—
EPS Growth-21.0%-21.0%14.6%38.3%—
Dividend Yield3.0%3.0%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-5.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$59.01

Spread vs growth

-15.2%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

0.3%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$71.40

Spread vs growth

-21.3%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

5.0%

razonable

EPS terminal req.

$114.99

Spread vs growth

-26.0%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -4.2%

Total return

-4.2%

Start / end P/E

8.0x → 9.4x

EPS bridge

89.23 → 70.49

Residual

-3.7%

EPS growth-21.0%
Multiple rerating+17.4%
Dividend+3.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-3.7%

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.