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2482.HK$0.54+0.00%
Fair $0.54+0.0%

2482.HK

Logory Logistics Technology Co., Ltd.

Industrials / Integrated Freight & LogisticsHKSE

$0.54

+0.00 (+0.00%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $0.54Fund rank 23/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 29/D
F-Score: 3/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-241.0M · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 23/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 6/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

29/100

D

Piotroski

3/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2482.HKLocal privado en este navegador · Logory Logistics Technology Co., Ltd.
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$753M

P/E

18.0x

↑

EV/EBITDA

9.4x

↓

ROE

5.7%

↓

Gross Margin

9.4%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.47

↑
52-Week Range$1
$0$1

TradingView lightweight chart

2482.HK price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $0.520Periodo -81.7%
Fair value: $0.540

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

-10.0%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-5.3%

FCF / Net income

-5.54x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $4.53B · net income $43.5M · FCF $-241.0M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

9.4%+3.9% pts

Operating margin

4.2%+3.5% pts

Net margin

1.0%+0.9% pts

FCF margin

-5.3%-4.3% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$4.53B$4.53B$7.54B$5.62B$6.20B
Net Income$43.5M$43.5M$50.0M$-29.6M$1.4M
EBITDA$79.0M$79.0M$95.6M$-17.2M$18.9M
EPS——0.04-0.020.00
Gross Margin9.4%9.4%5.3%5.6%5.5%
Operating Margin4.2%4.2%1.9%0.5%0.7%
Net Margin1.0%1.0%0.7%-0.5%0.0%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.470.470.440.230.00
Current Ratio1.581.58———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-241.0M$-241.0M$151.3M$-249.5M$-65.5M
Returns
ROE5.7%5.7%7.0%-4.5%0.3%
Valuation
P/E18.0018.0021.00——
EV/EBITDA9.389.389.85——
P/B0.990.991.642.12—
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-39.9%-39.9%34.3%-9.5%—
EPS Growth——300.0%-2102.0%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total -51.9%

Total return

-51.9%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

0.04 → n/d

Residual

-51.9%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term-51.9%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.