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2491.TW$28.15+9.96%
Fair $28.15+0.0%

2491.TW

Fortune Oriental Company Limited

Consumer Cyclical / Furnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesTaiwan

$28.15

+2.55 (+9.96%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $28.15Fund rank 27/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 51/C
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 33% · confianza 23%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-98.4M · quality 67.3/100

Data gap 27/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 27/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

51/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Insufficient audited annual history (<3 SEC-backed years); composite fair value and forward targets are disabled until manually verified.
Thesis & Journal · 2491.TWLocal privado en este navegador · Fortune Oriental Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$2.3B

P/E

19.7x

↑

EV/EBITDA

14.4x

↑

ROE

12.6%

↑

Gross Margin

26.5%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.06

↓
52-Week Range$28
$10$28

TradingView lightweight chart

2491.TW price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $28.15Periodo -92.4%
Fair value: $28.15

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

—

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-54.7%

FCF / Net income

-0.84x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $179.9M · net income $116.9M · FCF $-98.4M

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

26.5%-132.5% pts

Operating margin

-77.8%-298.5% pts

Net margin

65.0%-94.6% pts

FCF margin

-54.7%+4.7% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$179.9M$179.9M$200.8M$192.5M$-241.4M
Net Income$116.9M$116.9M$-32.8M$37.2M$-385.4M
EBITDA$154.6M$154.6M$-27.2M$92.0M$-597.7M
EPS——-0.400.45-4.70
Gross Margin26.5%26.5%38.1%26.6%159.0%
Operating Margin-77.8%-77.8%-56.8%-69.9%220.7%
Net Margin65.0%65.0%-16.3%19.3%159.6%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.060.060.050.070.04
Current Ratio6.636.63———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-98.4M$-98.4M$-42.8M$-100.1M$143.5M
Returns
ROE12.6%12.6%-4.1%4.5%-48.6%
Valuation
P/E19.6919.69—30.67—
EV/EBITDA14.4414.44—12.10—
P/B2.482.481.441.371.19
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth-10.4%-10.4%4.3%179.8%—
EPS Growth——-188.9%109.6%—

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%
Reverse DCF requires positive EPS; loss-making or zero-EPS companies cannot produce a clean EPS hurdle.

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +166.8%

Total return

+166.8%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

-0.40 → n/d

Residual

+166.8%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+0.0%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+166.8%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.