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2498.T$2901.00-0.41%
Fair $2901.00+0.0%

2498.T

Oriental Consultants Holdings Company Limited

Industrials / Specialty Business ServicesTokyo

$2901.00

-12.00 (-0.41%)

Fairly Valued+0.0%Fair Value $2901.00Fund rank 24/100 · Data gapFallback financials|
SA 45/C
F-Score: 2/9

FCF base 3Y

n/d

n/d CAGR · yield n/d

FCF base 5Y

n/d

n/d base · n/d expected

Precio de entrada

n/d

MOS 34% · confianza 17%

FCF escenarios

weak_data · normalized FCF $-1.4B · quality 39.7/100

Data gap 24/100
Bear 5Yn/dn/d
Base 5Yn/dn/d
Bull 5Yn/dn/d
Return 0/100Downside 20/100Model quality 9/100Data QA 20/100

Ranking barato/determinista: CAGR esperado 5Y + downside bear + calidad del modelo + balance + capital allocation + data gate. No entra en buy-candidate si la data es débil o el CAGR 5Y no compensa.

Quality + valuation scorecard

SA Score

45/100

C

Piotroski

2/9

balance/quality

Valuation

50/100

+0.0% upside

5Y CAGR

+0.0%

50/100

Data QA

16/100

SEC 0%

Latest source: unknownPeriods: 4Warnings: 0unknown: 4
No SEC-backed annual rows; valuation uses fallback financial data. Sector-specific holding-company NAV/SOTP model required: targets are disabled until look-through holdings, debt and discount data exists.
Thesis & Journal · 2498.TLocal privado en este navegador · Oriental Consultants Holdings Company Limited
Plantilla tipo buy-side: tesis, bull/base/bear, catalizadores, riesgos, kill criteria y fecha de revisión. Esto no gasta GPT-5.5; luego lo usamos como contexto del memo.

Sin guardar todavía.

Market Cap

$34.5B

P/E

7.9x

↓

EV/EBITDA

6.5x

↓

ROE

13.4%

↑

Gross Margin

22.1%

↓

Debt/Equity

0.65

↑
52-Week Range$2901
$2388$3600

TradingView lightweight chart

2498.T price, volumen y niveles de valoración

Último $2,901Periodo +1713.1%
Fair value: $2,901

Price & Ratios

Absolute Values (Left Axis)

Ratios / Percentages (Right Axis)

Financial statement dashboard

Crecimiento, márgenes y provenance

2022–2025 · 3 años de histórico normalizado

Revenue CAGR

+7.2%

FCF CAGR

—

FCF margin

-3.1%

FCF / Net income

-0.76x

Latest source

Provider fallback

Margin decomposition

Último año: revenue $95.37B · net income $3.82B · FCF $-2.92B

2022-FY → 2025-FY

Gross margin

22.1%+0.2% pts

Operating margin

5.9%+1.1% pts

Net margin

4.0%+0.5% pts

FCF margin

-3.1%+8.4% pts
MetricTTM
2025
2024
2023
2022
Income Statement
Revenue$95.37B$95.37B$86.28B$78.15B$77.34B
Net Income$3.82B$3.82B$2.60B$2.83B$2.72B
EBITDA$6.65B$6.65B$4.87B$4.97B$4.86B
EPS318.41318.41—474.24470.05
Gross Margin22.1%22.1%22.6%22.1%21.9%
Operating Margin5.9%5.9%5.4%5.0%4.8%
Net Margin4.0%4.0%3.0%3.6%3.5%
Balance Sheet
Debt/Equity0.650.650.580.580.46
Current Ratio1.251.25———
Cash Flow
Free Cash Flow$-2.92B$-2.92B$1.74B$-1.37B$-8.83B
Returns
ROE13.4%13.4%10.7%12.8%14.5%
Valuation
P/E7.857.85—2.662.76
EV/EBITDA6.526.523.402.211.88
P/B1.221.220.540.340.40
Growth & Yield
Revenue Growth10.5%10.5%10.4%1.1%—
EPS Growth———0.9%—
Dividend Yield4.3%4.3%———

Revenue, Net Income & Free Cash Flow ($B)

Margins (%)

Returns (%)

Leverage & Liquidity

Reverse DCF · market-implied EPS growthterminal P/E 15.0x · COE 10.0%

3Y implied EPS CAGR

-6.8%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$257.42

Spread vs growth

17.4%

5Y implied EPS CAGR

-0.4%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$311.47

Spread vs growth

11.0%

10Y implied EPS CAGR

4.7%

fácil

EPS terminal req.

$501.63

Spread vs growth

5.9%

Qué te dice: cuánto EPS CAGR está descontando el precio si sales al múltiplo terminal indicado. Si el growth observado queda por debajo, el mercado está pidiendo una ejecución muy fina.

Return attribution · 1Y approxreconcilia total +22.3%

Total return

+22.3%

Start / end P/E

n/dx → n/dx

EPS bridge

n/d → 318.41

Residual

+18.0%

EPS growthn/d
Multiple reratingn/d
Dividend+4.3%
Residual / FX / buybacks / cross-term+18.0%

EPS/multiple decomposition requires positive EPS at both endpoints; residual absorbs price move not explained by dividends.

Simple additive decomposition: total return = EPS growth contribution + P/E multiple contribution + dividend contribution + explicit residual. The residual captures cross-terms, buybacks/share-count effects, FX, special dividends, data noise and methodology mismatch so the bridge always reconciles.